MLB hitter props

Brandon Marsh

vs Tyler MahleProjected lineup1:10 PM ET

HR probability

11.6%

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Season HR%

3.1%

Park factor

3.3

Analytics

Hits Snapshot

Market line

0.5

DraftKings

Model projection

0.9

Expected hits

Hit rate

30%

3 of 10 overs

Average Hits

0.3

Last 10 games

Average margin

-0.2

Vs selected line

Current streak

UNDER

Stat color key

Colors compare each metric with its league-average baseline.

Elite25%+ above average

Above Average10–25% above

League AverageWithin 10%

Below Average10%+ below

Analytics

Hits, Bases & SB Props

Market	Projection	Line	Edge	Actual	Trend
Hits	0.9	0.5DraftKings	+0.4	—	30% (3/10)· 5U streak
H+R+R	1.4	1.5DraftKings	-0.1	—	20% (2/10)· 5U streak
Total Bases	1.1	—	+0.0	—	0% (0/10)· 10U streak
Stolen Bases	0.0	0.5DraftKings	-0.5	—	0% (0/10)· 10U streak

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Analytics

Hits Ladder

1+ Hits

62.3%Line

2+ Hits

23%

3+ Hits

4.7%

4+ Hits

0.6%

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Analytics

Power & Contact Profile

Barrel%

8.4%

Hard Hit%

39.5%

Exit Velo

87.6 mph

EV90

102.7 mph

Sweet Spot%

38.9%

Fly Ball%

27.4%

xSLG

0.506

ISO

0.126

26.3%

Contact%

76.0%

Bat Speed

69.8 mph

Swing Length

7.18 ft

Platoon HR%

3.2%

Analytics

Matchup History vs Tyler Mahle

View Tyler Mahle's report →

Avg

0.000

Analytics

Opposing Pitcher — Tyler Mahle

View Tyler Mahle's report →

HR% Allowed

2.2%

Barrel% Allowed

5.9%

Hard Hit% Allowed

41.2%

xSLG Allowed

0.534

Fly Ball% Allowed

26.2%

HR/FB

12.2%

HR/9 (est.)

0.85

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Prop performance terminal

HITS RESULTS

Historical hits performance against the selected market line.

Select prop

Situation:

30% (3/10)· 5U streak

Hits Simulator

Move the line to instantly recalculate every result.

Active line

0.5

0.56

Over

Under

Push

Line 0.5Model 0.9

Sep 5

vs ATL

UNDER

Hits

-0.5

Sep 4

vs ATL

UNDER

Hits

-0.5

Sep 2

@ ARI

UNDER

Hits

-0.5

Sep 1

@ ARI

UNDER

Hits

-0.5

Aug 31

@ ARI

UNDER

Hits

-0.5

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Analytics

Facing Today

View Tyler Mahle's report →

Pitch	Usage	Whiff%	Put-away%	Velo	Brandon Marsh's K% vs Pitch
4-Seam Fastball	48.7%	24.1%	22.6%	93.2	15.8%
Splitter	31.2%	25.4%	20.9%	86.7	16.1%
Cutter	16.9%	20.8%	21.4%	87.7	43.8%
Slider	3.3%	33.3%	15.4%	85.3	31.9%

Green = a plus pitch for Tyler Mahle (Whiff%/Put-away% ≥30%/25%), or a real weakness for Brandon Marsh (K% vs Pitch ≥25%)Red = a below-average pitch for the pitcher (≤15%/12%), or one Brandon Marsh handles well (K% vs Pitch ≤12%)

Analytics

Vs. Pitcher's Arsenal (HR Model)

Pitch	Usage	P Hard Hit%	P wOBA	Batter Hard Hit%	Batter wOBA
4-Seam Fastball	48.7%	41.3%	0.293	50.9%	0.393
Splitter	31.2%	38.5%	0.246	18.2%	0.226
Cutter	16.9%	45%	0.321	38.1%	0.371
Slider	3.3%	50%	0.425	44.7%	0.287

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