MLB hitter props

Bryan Reynolds

vs Walbert UreñaProjected lineup1:35 PM ET

HR probability

10.4%

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Season HR%

2.9%

Park factor

2.7

Analytics

Hits Snapshot

Market line

0.5

DraftKings

Model projection

Expected hits

Hit rate

80%

8 of 10 overs

Average Hits

1.4

Last 10 games

Average margin

+0.9

Vs selected line

Current streak

OVER

Stat color key

Colors compare each metric with its league-average baseline.

Elite25%+ above average

Above Average10–25% above

League AverageWithin 10%

Below Average10%+ below

Analytics

Hits, Bases & SB Props

Market	Projection	Line	Edge	Actual	Trend
Hits	1.0	0.5DraftKings	+0.5	—	80% (8/10)· 2O streak
H+R+R	2.0	1.5DraftKings	+0.5	—	70% (7/10)· 2O streak
Total Bases	1.5	—	+0.0	—	50% (5/10)· 2O streak
Stolen Bases	0.1	—	+0.0	—	0% (0/10)· 10U streak

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Analytics

Hits Ladder

1+ Hits

66.8%Line

2+ Hits

26.4%

3+ Hits

6.6%

4+ Hits

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Analytics

Power & Contact Profile

Barrel%

13.1%

Hard Hit%

51.9%

Exit Velo

91.3 mph

EV90

106.2 mph

Sweet Spot%

43.9%

Fly Ball%

29.9%

xSLG

0.666

ISO

0.169

24.9%

Contact%

72.8%

Bat Speed

70.5 mph

Swing Length

6.86 ft

Platoon HR%

3.2%

Analytics

Matchup History vs Walbert Ureña

View Walbert Ureña's report →

No recorded plate appearances between these two players.

Analytics

Opposing Pitcher — Walbert Ureña

View Walbert Ureña's report →

HR% Allowed

1.3%

Barrel% Allowed

4.1%

Hard Hit% Allowed

36.3%

xSLG Allowed

0.416

Fly Ball% Allowed

22.8%

HR/FB

9.1%

HR/9 (est.)

0.50

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Prop performance terminal

HITS RESULTS

Historical hits performance against the selected market line.

Select prop

Situation:

80% (8/10)· 2O streak

Hits Simulator

Move the line to instantly recalculate every result.

Active line

0.5

0.56

Over

Under

Push

Line 0.5Model 1

Sep 5

vs LAA

OVER

Hits

+2.5

Sep 4

vs LAA

OVER

Hits

+1.5

Sep 3

vs SF

UNDER

Hits

-0.5

Sep 2

vs SF

OVER

Hits

+1.5

Sep 1

vs SF

OVER

Hits

+0.5

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Analytics

Facing Today

View Walbert Ureña's report →

Pitch	Usage	Whiff%	Put-away%	Velo	Bryan Reynolds's K% vs Pitch
Changeup	33.3%	32.2%	21.9%	90.7	12.1%
Sinker	32%	14.7%	18.8%	98.1	17.1%
4-Seam Fastball	20%	19.6%	12.7%	98	20.8%
Sweeper	14.7%	37.3%	21.2%	87.5	23.9%

Green = a plus pitch for Walbert Ureña (Whiff%/Put-away% ≥30%/25%), or a real weakness for Bryan Reynolds (K% vs Pitch ≥25%)Red = a below-average pitch for the pitcher (≤15%/12%), or one Bryan Reynolds handles well (K% vs Pitch ≤12%)

Analytics

Vs. Pitcher's Arsenal (HR Model)

Pitch	Usage	P Hard Hit%	P wOBA	Batter Hard Hit%	Batter wOBA
Changeup	33.3%	27.9%	0.261	35.6%	0.312
Sinker	32%	38.4%	0.282	61.1%	0.375
4-Seam Fastball	20%	54.8%	0.411	56.9%	0.438
Sweeper	14.7%	28.6%	0.164	42.9%	0.360

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