
MLB hitter props
JJ Bleday
HR probability
10.9%
Season HR%
3.8%
Park factor
3.4
Analytics
Hits Snapshot
Market line
0.5
DraftKings
Model projection
1
Expected hits
Hit rate
60%
6 of 10 overs
Average Hits
0.8
Last 10 games
Average margin
+0.3
Vs selected line
Current streak
1
OVER
Stat color key
Colors compare each metric with its league-average baseline.
Analytics
Hits, Bases & SB Props
| Market | Projection | Line | Edge | Actual | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hits | 1.0 | 0.5DraftKings | +0.5 | — | 60% (6/10)· 1O streak |
| H+R+R | 1.9 | 0.5DraftKings | +1.4 | — | 80% (8/10)· 1O streak |
| Total Bases | 1.5 | — | +0.0 | — | 10% (1/10)· 2U streak |
| Stolen Bases | 0.0 | — | +0.0 | — | 0% (0/10)· 10U streak |
Analytics
Hits Ladder
Analytics
Power & Contact Profile
Barrel%
9.1%
Hard Hit%
33.8%
Exit Velo
86.9 mph
EV90
103.6 mph
Sweet Spot%
39.9%
Fly Ball%
35.4%
xSLG
0.533
ISO
0.168
K%
22.2%
Contact%
76.2%
Bat Speed
71.7 mph
Swing Length
7.24 ft
Platoon HR%
3.8%
Analytics
Matchup History vs Kyle Harrison
View Kyle Harrison's report →Avg
0.500
PA
2
HR
0
Analytics
Opposing Pitcher — Kyle Harrison
View Kyle Harrison's report →HR% Allowed
6.8%
Barrel% Allowed
10.2%
Hard Hit% Allowed
44.9%
xSLG Allowed
0.583
Fly Ball% Allowed
33.3%
HR/FB
30.6%
HR/9 (est.)
2.65
Prop performance terminal
HITS RESULTS
Historical hits performance against the selected market line.
Hits Simulator
Move the line to instantly recalculate every result.
Active line
0.5
Over
6
Under
4
Push
0
Sep 5
vs MIL
Hits
1
+0.5
Sep 4
vs MIL
Hits
0
-0.5
Sep 2
vs SD
Hits
3
+2.5
Sep 1
vs SD
Hits
1
+0.5
Aug 31
vs SD
Hits
0
-0.5
Analytics
Facing Today
View Kyle Harrison's report →| Pitch | Usage | Whiff% | Put-away% | Velo | JJ Bleday's K% vs Pitch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-Seam Fastball | 55.5% | 22% | 21.5% | 94.4 | 15.1% |
| Slurve | 33.7% | 28.2% | 20.2% | 81.8 | 28.6% |
| Changeup | 7.9% | 19.4% | 6.7% | 85.3 | 22% |
| Sinker | 2.9% | 8.3% | 0% | 94.4 | 12.3% |
Green = a plus pitch for Kyle Harrison (Whiff%/Put-away% ≥30%/25%), or a real weakness for JJ Bleday (K% vs Pitch ≥25%)Red = a below-average pitch for the pitcher (≤15%/12%), or one JJ Bleday handles well (K% vs Pitch ≤12%)
Analytics
Vs. Pitcher's Arsenal (HR Model)
| Pitch | Usage | P Hard Hit% | P wOBA | Batter Hard Hit% | Batter wOBA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-Seam Fastball | 55.5% | 53.2% | 0.405 | 35.1% | 0.363 |
| Slurve | 33.7% | 35.3% | 0.267 | -- | -- |
| Changeup | 7.9% | 33.3% | 0.585 | 36% | 0.291 |
| Sinker | 2.9% | 40% | 1.010 | 43.1% | 0.345 |