MLB hitter props

Randy Arozarena

vs Gage JumpProjected lineup4:10 PM ET

HR probability

11.8%

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Season HR%

5.3%

Park factor

3.4

Analytics

Hits Snapshot

Market line

0.5

DraftKings

Model projection

Expected hits

Hit rate

70%

7 of 10 overs

Average Hits

1.0

Last 10 games

Average margin

+0.5

Vs selected line

Current streak

OVER

Stat color key

Colors compare each metric with its league-average baseline.

Elite25%+ above average

Above Average10–25% above

League AverageWithin 10%

Below Average10%+ below

Analytics

Hits, Bases & SB Props

Market	Projection	Line	Edge	Actual	Trend
Hits	1.0	0.5DraftKings	+0.5	—	70% (7/10)· 1O streak
H+R+R	2.0	1.5DraftKings	+0.5	—	40% (4/10)· 2U streak
Total Bases	1.7	—	+0.0	—	30% (3/10)· 2U streak
Stolen Bases	0.0	—	+0.0	—	10% (1/10)· 2U streak

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Analytics

Hits Ladder

1+ Hits

67.5%Line

2+ Hits

27.4%

3+ Hits

7.1%

4+ Hits

1.3%

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Analytics

Power & Contact Profile

Barrel%

8.2%

Hard Hit%

40.8%

Exit Velo

90 mph

EV90

104.4 mph

Sweet Spot%

36.2%

Fly Ball%

26.5%

xSLG

0.549

ISO

0.224

20.8%

Contact%

75.5%

Bat Speed

68.9 mph

Swing Length

7.17 ft

Platoon HR%

5.9%

Analytics

Matchup History vs Gage Jump

View Gage Jump's report →

Avg

0.333

Analytics

Opposing Pitcher — Gage Jump

View Gage Jump's report →

HR% Allowed

3.0%

Barrel% Allowed

7.7%

Hard Hit% Allowed

42.0%

xSLG Allowed

0.588

Fly Ball% Allowed

28.5%

HR/FB

16.9%

HR/9 (est.)

1.16

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Prop performance terminal

HITS RESULTS

Historical hits performance against the selected market line.

Select prop

Situation:

70% (7/10)· 1O streak

Hits Simulator

Move the line to instantly recalculate every result.

Active line

0.5

0.56

Over

Under

Push

Line 0.5Model 1

Sep 5

vs ATH

OVER

Hits

+0.5

Sep 4

vs ATH

UNDER

Hits

-0.5

Sep 3

vs ATH

OVER

Hits

+0.5

Sep 2

@ BOS

OVER

Hits

+0.5

Sep 1

@ BOS

OVER

Hits

+0.5

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Analytics

Facing Today

View Gage Jump's report →

Pitch	Usage	Whiff%	Put-away%	Velo	Randy Arozarena's K% vs Pitch
4-Seam Fastball	45.9%	20.9%	21.5%	96.2	21.7%
Slider	22.7%	27.7%	17.8%	87	22.2%
Curveball	11%	24.3%	21.3%	82.3	21.3%
Changeup	9%	26.8%	11.1%	87.4	9.2%
Sinker	6%	21.4%	22.2%	95.1	13.2%
Sweeper	5.3%	40%	21.9%	83.6	14.6%

Green = a plus pitch for Gage Jump (Whiff%/Put-away% ≥30%/25%), or a real weakness for Randy Arozarena (K% vs Pitch ≥25%)Red = a below-average pitch for the pitcher (≤15%/12%), or one Randy Arozarena handles well (K% vs Pitch ≤12%)

Analytics

Vs. Pitcher's Arsenal (HR Model)

Pitch	Usage	P Hard Hit%	P wOBA	Batter Hard Hit%	Batter wOBA
4-Seam Fastball	45.9%	48.5%	0.419	54.3%	0.343
Slider	22.7%	28.8%	0.258	41.1%	0.362
Curveball	11%	56.5%	0.203	40%	0.271
Changeup	9%	37.5%	0.489	31.5%	0.399
Sinker	6%	30%	0.579	40%	0.481
Sweeper	5.3%	28.6%	0.167	34.1%	0.359

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