MLB hitter props

Freddy Fermin

vs Gerrit ColeProjected lineup4:10 PM ET

HR probability

10.5%

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Season HR%

1.7%

Park factor

2.8

Analytics

Hits Snapshot

Market line

0.5

Selected line

Model projection

0.9

Expected hits

Hit rate

50%

5 of 10 overs

Average Hits

0.6

Last 10 games

Average margin

+0.1

Vs selected line

Current streak

UNDER

Stat color key

Colors compare each metric with its league-average baseline.

Elite25%+ above average

Above Average10–25% above

League AverageWithin 10%

Below Average10%+ below

Analytics

Hits, Bases & SB Props

Market	Projection	Line	Edge	Actual	Trend
Hits	0.9	—	+0.0	—	50% (5/10)· 4U streak
H+R+R	1.5	—	+0.0	—	30% (3/10)· 4U streak
Total Bases	1.2	—	+0.0	—	10% (1/10)· 5U streak
Stolen Bases	0.1	—	+0.0	—	10% (1/10)· 4U streak

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Analytics

Hits Ladder

1+ Hits

61.8%

2+ Hits

22.6%

3+ Hits

4.4%

4+ Hits

0.5%

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Analytics

Power & Contact Profile

Barrel%

6.0%

Hard Hit%

33.3%

Exit Velo

86.9 mph

EV90

101.1 mph

Sweet Spot%

44.0%

Fly Ball%

29.8%

xSLG

0.474

ISO

0.113

19.8%

Contact%

74.1%

Bat Speed

66.5 mph

Swing Length

7.46 ft

Platoon HR%

1.4%

Analytics

Matchup History vs Gerrit Cole

View Gerrit Cole's report →

No recorded plate appearances between these two players.

Analytics

Opposing Pitcher — Gerrit Cole

View Gerrit Cole's report →

HR% Allowed

2.8%

Barrel% Allowed

7.9%

Hard Hit% Allowed

45.8%

xSLG Allowed

0.528

Fly Ball% Allowed

26.2%

HR/FB

15.9%

HR/9 (est.)

1.08

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Prop performance terminal

HITS RESULTS

Historical hits performance against the selected market line.

Select prop

Situation:

50% (5/10)· 4U streak

Hits Simulator

Move the line to instantly recalculate every result.

Active line

0.5

0.56

Over

Under

Push

Line 0.5Model 0.9

Sep 5

vs NYY

UNDER

Hits

-0.5

Sep 1

@ CIN

UNDER

Hits

-0.5

Aug 30

@ TB

UNDER

Hits

-0.5

Aug 28

@ TB

UNDER

Hits

-0.5

Aug 26

vs PIT

OVER

Hits

+0.5

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Analytics

Facing Today

View Gerrit Cole's report →

Pitch	Usage	Whiff%	Put-away%	Velo	Freddy Fermin's K% vs Pitch
4-Seam Fastball	49.7%	21.8%	24.2%	96.9	14.6%
Slider	19.9%	24.6%	20.8%	89.8	21.7%
Knuckle Curve	14.4%	19.5%	16.3%	83.6	12.5%
Changeup	13.4%	23%	20.4%	86.2	20.7%
Sinker	2.6%	6.7%	16.7%	96.2	21.2%

Green = a plus pitch for Gerrit Cole (Whiff%/Put-away% ≥30%/25%), or a real weakness for Freddy Fermin (K% vs Pitch ≥25%)Red = a below-average pitch for the pitcher (≤15%/12%), or one Freddy Fermin handles well (K% vs Pitch ≤12%)

Analytics

Vs. Pitcher's Arsenal (HR Model)

Pitch	Usage	P Hard Hit%	P wOBA	Batter Hard Hit%	Batter wOBA
4-Seam Fastball	49.7%	50%	0.273	34.6%	0.308
Slider	19.9%	50%	0.318	14.3%	0.219
Knuckle Curve	14.4%	48.6%	0.370	--	--
Changeup	13.4%	28.6%	0.241	42.9%	0.266
Sinker	2.6%	57.1%	0.578	40.9%	0.294

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