MLB hitter props

Esteury Ruiz

vs Clay HolmesProjected lineup1:40 PM ET

HR probability

7.6%

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Season HR%

2.0%

Park factor

2.3

Analytics

Hits Snapshot

Market line

0.5

Selected line

Model projection

0.8

Expected hits

Hit rate

30%

3 of 10 overs

Average Hits

0.3

Last 10 games

Average margin

-0.2

Vs selected line

Current streak

OVER

Stat color key

Colors compare each metric with its league-average baseline.

Elite25%+ above average

Above Average10–25% above

League AverageWithin 10%

Below Average10%+ below

Analytics

Hits, Bases & SB Props

Market	Projection	Line	Edge	Actual	Trend
Hits	0.8	—	+0.0	—	30% (3/10)· 1O streak
H+R+R	1.1	—	+0.0	—	10% (1/10)· 4U streak
Total Bases	0.8	—	+0.0	—	30% (3/10)· 1O streak
Stolen Bases	0.1	—	+0.0	—	10% (1/10)· 4U streak

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Analytics

Hits Ladder

1+ Hits

59.6%

2+ Hits

19.7%

3+ Hits

4.2%

4+ Hits

0.5%

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Analytics

Power & Contact Profile

Barrel%

7.9%

Hard Hit%

27.6%

Exit Velo

80.3 mph

EV90

101.8 mph

Sweet Spot%

42.1%

Fly Ball%

23.7%

xSLG

0.510

ISO

0.136

32.5%

Contact%

72.1%

Bat Speed

65.8 mph

Swing Length

7.11 ft

Platoon HR%

1.2%

Analytics

Matchup History vs Clay Holmes

View Clay Holmes's report →

No recorded plate appearances between these two players.

Analytics

Opposing Pitcher — Clay Holmes

View Clay Holmes's report →

HR% Allowed

0.9%

Barrel% Allowed

4.8%

Hard Hit% Allowed

38.1%

xSLG Allowed

0.438

Fly Ball% Allowed

13.1%

HR/FB

9.1%

HR/9 (est.)

0.35

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Prop performance terminal

HITS RESULTS

Historical hits performance against the selected market line.

Select prop

Situation:

30% (3/10)· 1O streak

Hits Simulator

Move the line to instantly recalculate every result.

Active line

0.5

0.56

Over

Under

Push

Line 0.5Model 0.8

Sep 5

vs CHC

OVER

Hits

+0.5

Sep 4

vs CHC

UNDER

Hits

-0.5

Sep 2

@ KC

UNDER

Hits

-0.5

Aug 31

@ WSH

OVER

Hits

+0.5

Aug 30

@ WSH

OVER

Hits

+0.5

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Analytics

Facing Today

View Clay Holmes's report →

Pitch	Usage	Whiff%	Put-away%	Velo	Esteury Ruiz's K% vs Pitch
Sinker	48.6%	7.3%	16%	92.3	21.9%
Sweeper	16.7%	12%	4%	80.4	18.2%
Cutter	16.5%	50%	36.4%	84.6	37.5%
Changeup	12.1%	31.8%	21.1%	87	18.4%
Curveball	4%	20%	16.7%	80	5.6%

Green = a plus pitch for Clay Holmes (Whiff%/Put-away% ≥30%/25%), or a real weakness for Esteury Ruiz (K% vs Pitch ≥25%)Red = a below-average pitch for the pitcher (≤15%/12%), or one Esteury Ruiz handles well (K% vs Pitch ≤12%)

Analytics

Vs. Pitcher's Arsenal (HR Model)

Pitch	Usage	P Hard Hit%	P wOBA	Batter Hard Hit%	Batter wOBA
Sinker	48.6%	50.9%	0.284	10.5%	0.231
Sweeper	16.7%	18.2%	0.283	35.7%	0.498
Cutter	16.5%	25%	0.197	12.5%	0.310
Changeup	12.1%	11.1%	0.138	50%	0.389
Curveball	4%	--	--	20%	0.233

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