MLB hitter props

José Fermín

vs Tanner GordonProjected lineup3:10 PM ET

HR probability

7.2%

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Season HR%

1.7%

Park factor

3.4

Analytics

Hits Snapshot

Market line

1.5

Selected line

Model projection

Expected hits

Hit rate

10%

1 of 10 overs

Average Hits

0.8

Last 10 games

Average margin

-0.7

Vs selected line

Current streak

UNDER

Stat color key

Colors compare each metric with its league-average baseline.

Elite25%+ above average

Above Average10–25% above

League AverageWithin 10%

Below Average10%+ below

Analytics

Hits, Bases & SB Props

Market	Projection	Line	Edge	Actual	Trend
Hits	1.0	—	+0.0	—	10% (1/10)· 7U streak
H+R+R	1.7	—	+0.0	—	60% (6/10)· 1O streak
Total Bases	1.3	—	+0.0	—	20% (2/10)· 1O streak
Stolen Bases	0.1	—	+0.0	—	20% (2/10)· 4U streak

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Analytics

Hits Ladder

1+ Hits

65%

2+ Hits

25%

3+ Hits

5.8%

4+ Hits

0.8%

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Analytics

Power & Contact Profile

Barrel%

2.7%

Hard Hit%

32.1%

Exit Velo

85.7 mph

EV90

99.1 mph

Sweet Spot%

38.6%

Fly Ball%

26.6%

xSLG

0.411

ISO

0.105

11.6%

Contact%

90.3%

Bat Speed

65.5 mph

Swing Length

7.24 ft

Platoon HR%

0.7%

Analytics

Matchup History vs Tanner Gordon

View Tanner Gordon's report →

Avg

0.000

Analytics

Opposing Pitcher — Tanner Gordon

View Tanner Gordon's report →

HR% Allowed

4.9%

Barrel% Allowed

7.8%

Hard Hit% Allowed

40.8%

xSLG Allowed

0.528

Fly Ball% Allowed

35.2%

HR/FB

17.5%

HR/9 (est.)

1.89

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Prop performance terminal

HITS RESULTS

Historical hits performance against the selected market line.

Select prop

Situation:

10% (1/10)· 7U streak

Hits Simulator

Move the line to instantly recalculate every result.

Active line

1.5

0.56

Over

Under

Push

Line 1.5Model 1

Sep 5

@ COL

UNDER

Hits

-0.5

Sep 4

@ COL

UNDER

Hits

-1.5

Sep 3

@ LAD

UNDER

Hits

-0.5

Sep 2

@ LAD

UNDER

Hits

-0.5

Sep 1

@ LAD

UNDER

Hits

-0.5

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Analytics

Facing Today

View Tanner Gordon's report →

Pitch	Usage	Whiff%	Put-away%	Velo	José Fermín's K% vs Pitch
4-Seam Fastball	51.1%	18%	21.5%	92.6	9.2%
Changeup	22.2%	19.3%	14.6%	84.5	5.9%
Slider	19%	13.2%	11.5%	87.3	10.3%
Curveball	7.6%	15.4%	12.9%	81.9	9.7%

Green = a plus pitch for Tanner Gordon (Whiff%/Put-away% ≥30%/25%), or a real weakness for José Fermín (K% vs Pitch ≥25%)Red = a below-average pitch for the pitcher (≤15%/12%), or one José Fermín handles well (K% vs Pitch ≤12%)

Analytics

Vs. Pitcher's Arsenal (HR Model)

Pitch	Usage	P Hard Hit%	P wOBA	Batter Hard Hit%	Batter wOBA
4-Seam Fastball	51.1%	50.6%	0.367	32.5%	0.327
Changeup	22.2%	29.2%	0.279	22.6%	0.251
Slider	19%	31.4%	0.371	40.6%	0.273
Curveball	7.6%	46.2%	0.500	18.8%	0.281

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