MLB hitter props

Jazz Chisholm Jr.

vs Michael KingProjected lineup4:10 PM ET

HR probability

11.2%

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Season HR%

4.1%

Park factor

2.8

Analytics

Hits Snapshot

Market line

0.5

Selected line

Model projection

Expected hits

Hit rate

50%

5 of 10 overs

Average Hits

1.0

Last 10 games

Average margin

+0.5

Vs selected line

Current streak

UNDER

Stat color key

Colors compare each metric with its league-average baseline.

Elite25%+ above average

Above Average10–25% above

League AverageWithin 10%

Below Average10%+ below

Analytics

Hits, Bases & SB Props

Market	Projection	Line	Edge	Actual	Trend
Hits	--	—	+0.0	—	50% (5/10)· 2U streak
H+R+R	1.9	—	+0.0	—	40% (4/10)· 2U streak
Total Bases	1.5	—	+0.0	—	30% (3/10)· 2U streak
Stolen Bases	0.2	—	+0.0	—	30% (3/10)· 4U streak

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Analytics

Hits Ladder

No ladder projection available for this game yet.

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Analytics

Power & Contact Profile

Barrel%

9.8%

Hard Hit%

46.4%

Exit Velo

90.2 mph

EV90

104.5 mph

Sweet Spot%

30.7%

Fly Ball%

28.1%

xSLG

0.575

ISO

0.181

30.0%

Contact%

72.1%

Bat Speed

70.7 mph

Swing Length

7.76 ft

Platoon HR%

4.3%

Analytics

Matchup History vs Michael King

View Michael King's report →

Avg

0.400

Analytics

Opposing Pitcher — Michael King

View Michael King's report →

HR% Allowed

2.7%

Barrel% Allowed

7.1%

Hard Hit% Allowed

30.0%

xSLG Allowed

0.514

Fly Ball% Allowed

28.9%

HR/FB

13.7%

HR/9 (est.)

1.06

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Prop performance terminal

HITS RESULTS

Historical hits performance against the selected market line.

Select prop

Situation:

50% (5/10)· 2U streak

Hits Simulator

Move the line to instantly recalculate every result.

Active line

0.5

0.56

Over

Under

Push

Line 0.5

Sep 4

@ SD

UNDER

Hits

-0.5

Sep 2

@ LAA

UNDER

Hits

-0.5

Sep 1

@ LAA

OVER

Hits

+2.5

Aug 31

@ LAA

OVER

Hits

+0.5

Aug 30

vs BOS

OVER

Hits

+1.5

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Analytics

Facing Today

View Michael King's report →

Pitch	Usage	Whiff%	Put-away%	Velo	Jazz Chisholm Jr.'s K% vs Pitch
Sinker	29.1%	13.6%	16.1%	93.5	17.7%
Changeup	27.1%	25.3%	16.3%	86.6	18.8%
Sweeper	19.3%	24.3%	20.6%	82	26.4%
4-Seam Fastball	18.9%	22.9%	14.2%	94.3	22.7%
Slider	5.6%	17.6%	8.7%	85.7	22.2%

Green = a plus pitch for Michael King (Whiff%/Put-away% ≥30%/25%), or a real weakness for Jazz Chisholm Jr. (K% vs Pitch ≥25%)Red = a below-average pitch for the pitcher (≤15%/12%), or one Jazz Chisholm Jr. handles well (K% vs Pitch ≤12%)

Analytics

Vs. Pitcher's Arsenal (HR Model)

Pitch	Usage	P Hard Hit%	P wOBA	Batter Hard Hit%	Batter wOBA
Sinker	29.1%	38.9%	0.387	41%	0.459
Changeup	27.1%	20.2%	0.237	44.7%	0.334
Sweeper	19.3%	23.8%	0.232	38.5%	0.324
4-Seam Fastball	18.9%	40.5%	0.359	44.7%	0.287
Slider	5.6%	38.5%	0.244	41%	0.364

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