MLB hitter props

Fernando Tatis Jr.

vs Gerrit ColeProjected lineup4:10 PM ET

HR probability

11.5%

Unlock the full board

Create a free account to see this player's HR probability.

Season HR%

5.2%

Park factor

2.8

Analytics

Hits Snapshot

Market line

0.5

DraftKings

Model projection

1.1

Expected hits

Hit rate

60%

6 of 10 overs

Average Hits

0.8

Last 10 games

Average margin

+0.3

Vs selected line

Current streak

UNDER

Stat color key

Colors compare each metric with its league-average baseline.

Elite25%+ above average

Above Average10–25% above

League AverageWithin 10%

Below Average10%+ below

Analytics

Hits, Bases & SB Props

Market	Projection	Line	Edge	Actual	Trend
Hits	1.1	0.5DraftKings	+0.6	—	60% (6/10)· 2U streak
H+R+R	2.2	1.5DraftKings	+0.7	—	40% (4/10)· 2U streak
Total Bases	1.9	—	+0.0	—	40% (4/10)· 2U streak
Stolen Bases	0.1	—	+0.0	—	10% (1/10)· 6U streak

Unlock the full board

Create a free account to see this player's props.

Analytics

Hits Ladder

1+ Hits

71%Line

2+ Hits

31.1%

3+ Hits

8.5%

4+ Hits

1.4%

Unlock the full board

Create a free account to see this player's hits ladder.

Analytics

Power & Contact Profile

Barrel%

14.3%

Hard Hit%

56.4%

Exit Velo

93.5 mph

EV90

110 mph

Sweet Spot%

35.1%

Fly Ball%

21.6%

xSLG

0.659

ISO

0.244

15.6%

Contact%

78.4%

Bat Speed

74.1 mph

Swing Length

7.18 ft

Platoon HR%

4.3%

Analytics

Matchup History vs Gerrit Cole

View Gerrit Cole's report →

Avg

0.000

Analytics

Opposing Pitcher — Gerrit Cole

View Gerrit Cole's report →

HR% Allowed

2.8%

Barrel% Allowed

7.9%

Hard Hit% Allowed

45.8%

xSLG Allowed

0.528

Fly Ball% Allowed

26.2%

HR/FB

15.9%

HR/9 (est.)

1.08

Unlock the full board

Create a free account to see matchup history.

Prop performance terminal

HITS RESULTS

Historical hits performance against the selected market line.

Select prop

Situation:

60% (6/10)· 2U streak

Hits Simulator

Move the line to instantly recalculate every result.

Active line

0.5

0.56

Over

Under

Push

Line 0.5Model 1.1

Sep 5

vs NYY

UNDER

Hits

-0.5

Sep 4

vs NYY

UNDER

Hits

-0.5

Sep 2

@ CIN

OVER

Hits

+1.5

Sep 1

@ CIN

OVER

Hits

+1.5

Aug 31

@ CIN

OVER

Hits

+0.5

Unlock the full board

Create a free account to see this player's prop trend chart.

Analytics

Facing Today

View Gerrit Cole's report →

Pitch	Usage	Whiff%	Put-away%	Velo	Fernando Tatis Jr.'s K% vs Pitch
4-Seam Fastball	49.7%	21.8%	24.2%	96.9	19.6%
Slider	19.9%	24.6%	20.8%	89.8	25%
Knuckle Curve	14.4%	19.5%	16.3%	83.6	0%
Changeup	13.4%	23%	20.4%	86.2	16.5%
Sinker	2.6%	6.7%	16.7%	96.2	22.6%

Green = a plus pitch for Gerrit Cole (Whiff%/Put-away% ≥30%/25%), or a real weakness for Fernando Tatis Jr. (K% vs Pitch ≥25%)Red = a below-average pitch for the pitcher (≤15%/12%), or one Fernando Tatis Jr. handles well (K% vs Pitch ≤12%)

Analytics

Vs. Pitcher's Arsenal (HR Model)

Pitch	Usage	P Hard Hit%	P wOBA	Batter Hard Hit%	Batter wOBA
4-Seam Fastball	49.7%	50%	0.273	61%	0.350
Slider	19.9%	50%	0.318	50%	0.437
Knuckle Curve	14.4%	48.6%	0.370	62.5%	0.156
Changeup	13.4%	28.6%	0.241	53.5%	0.341
Sinker	2.6%	57.1%	0.578	53.6%	0.367

Unlock the full board

Create a free account to see this player's arsenal matchup.