MLB hitter props

Jeremy Peña

vs Eduardo RodriguezProjected lineup2:10 PM ET

HR probability

12.8%

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Season HR%

5.1%

Park factor

3.3

Analytics

Hits Snapshot

Market line

0.5

DraftKings

Model projection

Expected hits

Hit rate

70%

7 of 10 overs

Average Hits

0.8

Last 10 games

Average margin

+0.3

Vs selected line

Current streak

UNDER

Stat color key

Colors compare each metric with its league-average baseline.

Elite25%+ above average

Above Average10–25% above

League AverageWithin 10%

Below Average10%+ below

Analytics

Hits, Bases & SB Props

Market	Projection	Line	Edge	Actual	Trend
Hits	--	0.5DraftKings	-0.5	—	70% (7/10)· 1U streak
H+R+R	1.8	1.5DraftKings	+0.3	—	40% (4/10)· 1U streak
Total Bases	1.5	—	+0.0	—	30% (3/10)· 6U streak
Stolen Bases	0.1	—	+0.0	—	10% (1/10)· 8U streak

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Analytics

Hits Ladder

No ladder projection available for this game yet.

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Analytics

Power & Contact Profile

Barrel%

7.1%

Hard Hit%

42.9%

Exit Velo

89.7 mph

EV90

104.4 mph

Sweet Spot%

33.0%

Fly Ball%

22.0%

xSLG

0.549

ISO

0.208

26.5%

Contact%

68.6%

Bat Speed

70.5 mph

Swing Length

7.44 ft

Platoon HR%

1.6%

Analytics

Matchup History vs Eduardo Rodriguez

View Eduardo Rodriguez's report →

Avg

0.385

Analytics

Opposing Pitcher — Eduardo Rodriguez

View Eduardo Rodriguez's report →

HR% Allowed

1.9%

Barrel% Allowed

7.4%

Hard Hit% Allowed

31.6%

xSLG Allowed

0.502

Fly Ball% Allowed

30.1%

HR/FB

8.5%

HR/9 (est.)

0.74

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Prop performance terminal

HITS RESULTS

Historical hits performance against the selected market line.

Select prop

Situation:

70% (7/10)· 1U streak

Hits Simulator

Move the line to instantly recalculate every result.

Active line

0.5

0.56

Over

Under

Push

Line 0.5

Sep 5

vs ARI

UNDER

Hits

-0.5

Sep 4

vs ARI

OVER

Hits

+0.5

Sep 3

vs CWS

UNDER

Hits

-0.5

Sep 2

vs CWS

OVER

Hits

+0.5

Sep 1

vs CWS

UNDER

Hits

-0.5

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Analytics

Facing Today

View Eduardo Rodriguez's report →

Pitch	Usage	Whiff%	Put-away%	Velo	Jeremy Peña's K% vs Pitch
4-Seam Fastball	39.1%	17.3%	13.6%	92.1	16.5%
Changeup	25.3%	30.5%	15.3%	85.1	15.8%
Curveball	13%	17.3%	7%	79.8	44.4%
Cutter	13%	18.4%	11.5%	88.9	4.5%
Sinker	9.7%	7.4%	14.6%	91.6	7.7%

Green = a plus pitch for Eduardo Rodriguez (Whiff%/Put-away% ≥30%/25%), or a real weakness for Jeremy Peña (K% vs Pitch ≥25%)Red = a below-average pitch for the pitcher (≤15%/12%), or one Jeremy Peña handles well (K% vs Pitch ≤12%)

Analytics

Vs. Pitcher's Arsenal (HR Model)

Pitch	Usage	P Hard Hit%	P wOBA	Batter Hard Hit%	Batter wOBA
4-Seam Fastball	39.1%	33.3%	0.262	41.9%	0.434
Changeup	25.3%	23%	0.322	47.1%	0.185
Curveball	13%	41.9%	0.269	50%	0.218
Cutter	13%	33.3%	0.316	33.3%	0.372
Sinker	9.7%	31%	0.437	46.2%	0.403

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