MLB hitter props

Nathaniel Lowe

vs Jackson JobeProjected lineup1:40 PM ET

HR probability

10.3%

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Season HR%

2.7%

Park factor

2.8

Analytics

Hits Snapshot

Market line

0.5

DraftKings

Model projection

Expected hits

Hit rate

60%

6 of 10 overs

Average Hits

0.7

Last 10 games

Average margin

+0.2

Vs selected line

Current streak

OVER

Stat color key

Colors compare each metric with its league-average baseline.

Elite25%+ above average

Above Average10–25% above

League AverageWithin 10%

Below Average10%+ below

Analytics

Hits, Bases & SB Props

Market	Projection	Line	Edge	Actual	Trend
Hits	1.0	0.5DraftKings	+0.5	—	60% (6/10)· 3O streak
H+R+R	1.8	1.5DraftKings	+0.3	—	40% (4/10)· 2O streak
Total Bases	1.3	—	+0.0	—	30% (3/10)· 1O streak
Stolen Bases	0.0	—	+0.0	—	0% (0/10)· 10U streak

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Analytics

Hits Ladder

1+ Hits

67.8%Line

2+ Hits

27.7%

3+ Hits

6.8%

4+ Hits

1.1%

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Analytics

Power & Contact Profile

Barrel%

4.7%

Hard Hit%

39.3%

Exit Velo

89.1 mph

EV90

105.2 mph

Sweet Spot%

38.0%

Fly Ball%

26.0%

xSLG

0.518

ISO

0.153

24.1%

Contact%

80.2%

Bat Speed

73 mph

Swing Length

7.5 ft

Platoon HR%

3.0%

Analytics

Matchup History vs Jackson Jobe

View Jackson Jobe's report →

No recorded plate appearances between these two players.

Analytics

Opposing Pitcher — Jackson Jobe

View Jackson Jobe's report →

HR% Allowed

3.9%

Barrel% Allowed

11.1%

Hard Hit% Allowed

40.3%

xSLG Allowed

0.589

Fly Ball% Allowed

23.6%

HR/FB

23.5%

HR/9 (est.)

1.49

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Prop performance terminal

HITS RESULTS

Historical hits performance against the selected market line.

Select prop

Situation:

60% (6/10)· 3O streak

Hits Simulator

Move the line to instantly recalculate every result.

Active line

0.5

0.56

Over

Under

Push

Line 0.5Model 1

Sep 4

vs DET

OVER

Hits

+0.5

Sep 4

vs DET

OVER

Hits

+0.5

Sep 3

vs TOR

OVER

Hits

+0.5

Sep 2

vs TOR

UNDER

Hits

-0.5

Sep 1

vs TOR

UNDER

Hits

-0.5

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Analytics

Facing Today

View Jackson Jobe's report →

Pitch	Usage	Whiff%	Put-away%	Velo	Nathaniel Lowe's K% vs Pitch
4-Seam Fastball	35.5%	9.9%	20.5%	97.8	17.9%
Slider	24.2%	18.8%	4.5%	90	18.2%
Sinker	16.9%	15.6%	9.1%	96	17%
Changeup	11.7%	31.6%	15.8%	86.1	13.5%
Curveball	11.7%	17.6%	27.3%	83.4	20.5%

Green = a plus pitch for Jackson Jobe (Whiff%/Put-away% ≥30%/25%), or a real weakness for Nathaniel Lowe (K% vs Pitch ≥25%)Red = a below-average pitch for the pitcher (≤15%/12%), or one Nathaniel Lowe handles well (K% vs Pitch ≤12%)

Analytics

Vs. Pitcher's Arsenal (HR Model)

Pitch	Usage	P Hard Hit%	P wOBA	Batter Hard Hit%	Batter wOBA
4-Seam Fastball	35.5%	46.4%	0.461	39.8%	0.316
Slider	24.2%	17.6%	0.311	23.5%	0.268
Sinker	16.9%	40%	0.317	58.3%	0.406
Changeup	11.7%	40%	0.230	28.1%	0.289
Curveball	11.7%	71.4%	0.411	33.3%	0.234

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