MLB hitter props

Kyle Tucker

vs Andrew AlvarezProjected lineup10:10 PM ET

HR probability

9.8%

Unlock the full board

Create a free account to see this player's HR probability.

Season HR%

2.5%

Park factor

3.1

Analytics

Hits Snapshot

Market line

0.5

DraftKings

Model projection

Expected hits

Hit rate

40%

4 of 10 overs

Average Hits

0.4

Last 10 games

Average margin

-0.1

Vs selected line

Current streak

UNDER

Stat color key

Colors compare each metric with its league-average baseline.

Elite25%+ above average

Above Average10–25% above

League AverageWithin 10%

Below Average10%+ below

Analytics

Hits, Bases & SB Props

Market	Projection	Line	Edge	Actual	Trend
Hits	1.0	0.5DraftKings	+0.5	—	40% (4/10)· 1U streak
H+R+R	1.7	1.5DraftKings	+0.2	—	10% (1/10)· 1U streak
Total Bases	1.1	—	+0.0	—	20% (2/10)· 1U streak
Stolen Bases	0.1	—	+0.0	—	20% (2/10)· 3U streak

Unlock the full board

Create a free account to see this player's props.

Analytics

Hits Ladder

1+ Hits

66.7%Line

2+ Hits

25.4%

3+ Hits

6.2%

4+ Hits

0.5%

Unlock the full board

Create a free account to see this player's hits ladder.

Analytics

Power & Contact Profile

Barrel%

5.5%

Hard Hit%

35.0%

Exit Velo

88.4 mph

EV90

102 mph

Sweet Spot%

33.5%

Fly Ball%

36.0%

xSLG

0.462

ISO

0.115

15.5%

Contact%

82.4%

Bat Speed

68.8 mph

Swing Length

7.17 ft

Platoon HR%

1.1%

Analytics

Matchup History vs Andrew Alvarez

View Andrew Alvarez's report →

No recorded plate appearances between these two players.

Analytics

Opposing Pitcher — Andrew Alvarez

View Andrew Alvarez's report →

HR% Allowed

1.0%

Barrel% Allowed

4.5%

Hard Hit% Allowed

39.4%

xSLG Allowed

0.481

Fly Ball% Allowed

20.7%

HR/FB

7.3%

HR/9 (est.)

0.39

Unlock the full board

Create a free account to see matchup history.

Prop performance terminal

HITS RESULTS

Historical hits performance against the selected market line.

Select prop

Situation:

40% (4/10)· 1U streak

Hits Simulator

Move the line to instantly recalculate every result.

Active line

0.5

0.56

Over

Under

Push

Line 0.5Model 1

Sep 5

vs WSH

UNDER

Hits

-0.5

Sep 4

vs WSH

OVER

Hits

+0.5

Sep 3

vs STL

UNDER

Hits

-0.5

Sep 2

vs STL

OVER

Hits

+0.5

Sep 1

vs STL

UNDER

Hits

-0.5

Unlock the full board

Create a free account to see this player's prop trend chart.

Analytics

Facing Today

View Andrew Alvarez's report →

Pitch	Usage	Whiff%	Put-away%	Velo	Kyle Tucker's K% vs Pitch
Curveball	30.4%	31.1%	24.8%	82.7	13.6%
4-Seam Fastball	29.5%	10.1%	14.9%	92.2	14.4%
Slider	18.9%	32.1%	18.5%	84.2	13.3%
Sinker	15.7%	14.5%	30%	91.7	20%
Changeup	5.6%	30.8%	0%	86.3	13.2%

Green = a plus pitch for Andrew Alvarez (Whiff%/Put-away% ≥30%/25%), or a real weakness for Kyle Tucker (K% vs Pitch ≥25%)Red = a below-average pitch for the pitcher (≤15%/12%), or one Kyle Tucker handles well (K% vs Pitch ≤12%)

Analytics

Vs. Pitcher's Arsenal (HR Model)

Pitch	Usage	P Hard Hit%	P wOBA	Batter Hard Hit%	Batter wOBA
Curveball	30.4%	50.9%	0.232	13.3%	0.308
4-Seam Fastball	29.5%	33.3%	0.374	43.6%	0.352
Slider	18.9%	34.3%	0.337	31.4%	0.246
Sinker	15.7%	47.4%	0.361	49.1%	0.302
Changeup	5.6%	7.7%	0.208	31.2%	0.270

Unlock the full board

Create a free account to see this player's arsenal matchup.