
MLB hitter props
Trevor Larnach
HR probability
12.4%
Season HR%
3.5%
Park factor
3.1
Analytics
Hits Snapshot
Market line
0.5
Selected line
Model projection
--
Expected hits
Hit rate
60%
6 of 10 overs
Average Hits
0.8
Last 10 games
Average margin
+0.3
Vs selected line
Current streak
2
UNDER
Stat color key
Colors compare each metric with its league-average baseline.
Analytics
Hits, Bases & SB Props
| Market | Projection | Line | Edge | Actual | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hits | -- | — | +0.0 | — | 60% (6/10)· 2U streak |
| H+R+R | 1.6 | — | +0.0 | — | 50% (5/10)· 2U streak |
| Total Bases | 1.3 | — | +0.0 | — | 40% (4/10)· 2U streak |
| Stolen Bases | 0.0 | — | +0.0 | — | 0% (0/10)· 10U streak |
Analytics
Hits Ladder
No ladder projection available for this game yet.
Analytics
Power & Contact Profile
Barrel%
8.8%
Hard Hit%
44.1%
Exit Velo
88.7 mph
EV90
104.9 mph
Sweet Spot%
38.8%
Fly Ball%
22.9%
xSLG
0.528
ISO
0.175
K%
15.9%
Contact%
75.5%
Bat Speed
71.1 mph
Swing Length
7.1 ft
Platoon HR%
3.5%
Analytics
Matchup History vs Bryan Hudson
View Bryan Hudson's report →Avg
1.000
PA
1
HR
0
Analytics
Opposing Pitcher — Bryan Hudson
View Bryan Hudson's report →HR% Allowed
3.3%
Barrel% Allowed
5.8%
Hard Hit% Allowed
40.7%
xSLG Allowed
0.420
Fly Ball% Allowed
27.9%
HR/FB
16.7%
HR/9 (est.)
1.29
Prop performance terminal
HITS RESULTS
Historical hits performance against the selected market line.
Hits Simulator
Move the line to instantly recalculate every result.
Active line
0.5
Over
6
Under
4
Push
0
Sep 5
@ CWS
Hits
0
-0.5
Sep 4
@ CWS
Hits
0
-0.5
Sep 2
vs DET
Hits
1
+0.5
Sep 1
vs DET
Hits
1
+0.5
Aug 31
vs DET
Hits
1
+0.5
Analytics
Facing Today
View Bryan Hudson's report →| Pitch | Usage | Whiff% | Put-away% | Velo | Trevor Larnach's K% vs Pitch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-Seam Fastball | 68.4% | 19.6% | 25.3% | 92 | 12% |
| Sweeper | 31.6% | 24.6% | 11.8% | 79.7 | 23.7% |
Green = a plus pitch for Bryan Hudson (Whiff%/Put-away% ≥30%/25%), or a real weakness for Trevor Larnach (K% vs Pitch ≥25%)Red = a below-average pitch for the pitcher (≤15%/12%), or one Trevor Larnach handles well (K% vs Pitch ≤12%)
Analytics
Vs. Pitcher's Arsenal (HR Model)
| Pitch | Usage | P Hard Hit% | P wOBA | Batter Hard Hit% | Batter wOBA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-Seam Fastball | 68.4% | 43.8% | 0.271 | 36.7% | 0.375 |
| Sweeper | 31.6% | 31.8% | 0.398 | 63.6% | 0.422 |