MLB hitter props

Nico Hoerner

vs Tyler PhillipsProjected lineup1:40 PM ET

HR probability

11.4%

Unlock the full board

Create a free account to see this player's HR probability.

Season HR%

1.3%

Park factor

2.3

Analytics

Hits Snapshot

Market line

1.5

DraftKings

Model projection

Expected hits

Hit rate

40%

4 of 10 overs

Average Hits

1.4

Last 10 games

Average margin

-0.1

Vs selected line

Current streak

OVER

Stat color key

Colors compare each metric with its league-average baseline.

Elite25%+ above average

Above Average10–25% above

League AverageWithin 10%

Below Average10%+ below

Analytics

Hits, Bases & SB Props

Market	Projection	Line	Edge	Actual	Trend
Hits	1.0	1.5DraftKings	-0.5	—	40% (4/10)· 2O streak
H+R+R	1.9	1.5DraftKings	+0.4	—	70% (7/10)· 2O streak
Total Bases	1.5	—	+0.0	—	50% (5/10)· 2O streak
Stolen Bases	0.1	0.5DraftKings	-0.4	—	10% (1/10)· 8U streak

Unlock the full board

Create a free account to see this player's props.

Analytics

Hits Ladder

1+ Hits

68.1%

2+ Hits

26.4%Line

3+ Hits

6.8%

4+ Hits

1.1%

Unlock the full board

Create a free account to see this player's hits ladder.

Analytics

Power & Contact Profile

Barrel%

1.5%

Hard Hit%

30.2%

Exit Velo

86 mph

EV90

99.7 mph

Sweet Spot%

37.3%

Fly Ball%

19.0%

xSLG

0.426

ISO

0.091

10.7%

Contact%

87.1%

Bat Speed

66.7 mph

Swing Length

7.21 ft

Platoon HR%

1.2%

Analytics

Matchup History vs Tyler Phillips

View Tyler Phillips's report →

Avg

0.000

Analytics

Opposing Pitcher — Tyler Phillips

View Tyler Phillips's report →

HR% Allowed

4.2%

Barrel% Allowed

9.0%

Hard Hit% Allowed

47.8%

xSLG Allowed

0.566

Fly Ball% Allowed

29.9%

HR/FB

20.0%

HR/9 (est.)

1.64

Unlock the full board

Create a free account to see matchup history.

Prop performance terminal

HITS RESULTS

Historical hits performance against the selected market line.

Select prop

Situation:

40% (4/10)· 2O streak

Hits Simulator

Move the line to instantly recalculate every result.

Active line

1.5

0.56

Over

Under

Push

Line 1.5Model 1

Sep 5

@ MIA

OVER

Hits

+1.5

Sep 4

@ MIA

OVER

Hits

+1.5

Sep 3

vs MIL

UNDER

Hits

-1.5

Sep 2

vs MIL

UNDER

Hits

-1.5

Sep 1

vs MIL

UNDER

Hits

-0.5

Unlock the full board

Create a free account to see this player's prop trend chart.

Analytics

Facing Today

View Tyler Phillips's report →

Pitch	Usage	Whiff%	Put-away%	Velo	Nico Hoerner's K% vs Pitch
Sweeper	25.6%	28.2%	33.3%	84.1	5.6%
Sinker	24.4%	6.4%	9.6%	95.2	8.3%
Splitter	22.9%	33.3%	18.9%	86.7	15.8%
Curveball	16.5%	33%	15.3%	83.2	8.3%
4-Seam Fastball	8.5%	11.1%	10.5%	95.8	7.6%
Slider	2.1%	0%	0%	87.8	14.5%

Green = a plus pitch for Tyler Phillips (Whiff%/Put-away% ≥30%/25%), or a real weakness for Nico Hoerner (K% vs Pitch ≥25%)Red = a below-average pitch for the pitcher (≤15%/12%), or one Nico Hoerner handles well (K% vs Pitch ≤12%)

Analytics

Vs. Pitcher's Arsenal (HR Model)

Pitch	Usage	P Hard Hit%	P wOBA	Batter Hard Hit%	Batter wOBA
Sweeper	25.6%	42.5%	0.280	18.2%	0.535
Sinker	24.4%	51.5%	0.452	31.3%	0.352
Splitter	22.9%	47.5%	0.144	28.6%	0.380
Curveball	16.5%	58.1%	0.307	14.3%	0.246
4-Seam Fastball	8.5%	26.3%	0.550	35.2%	0.282
Slider	2.1%	60%	0.400	23%	0.344

Unlock the full board

Create a free account to see this player's arsenal matchup.