MLB hitter props

Shohei Ohtani

vs Andrew AlvarezProjected lineup10:10 PM ET

HR probability

12.8%

Unlock the full board

Create a free account to see this player's HR probability.

Season HR%

6.2%

Park factor

3.1

Analytics

Hits Snapshot

Market line

0.5

DraftKings

Model projection

1.1

Expected hits

Hit rate

40%

4 of 10 overs

Average Hits

0.5

Last 10 games

Average margin

+0.0

Vs selected line

Current streak

UNDER

Stat color key

Colors compare each metric with its league-average baseline.

Elite25%+ above average

Above Average10–25% above

League AverageWithin 10%

Below Average10%+ below

Analytics

Hits, Bases & SB Props

Market	Projection	Line	Edge	Actual	Trend
Hits	1.1	0.5DraftKings	+0.6	—	40% (4/10)· 1U streak
H+R+R	1.8	1.5DraftKings	+0.3	—	20% (2/10)· 1U streak
Total Bases	1.6	—	+0.0	—	20% (2/10)· 6U streak
Stolen Bases	0.1	—	+0.0	—	30% (3/10)· 1O streak

Unlock the full board

Create a free account to see this player's props.

Analytics

Hits Ladder

1+ Hits

67.8%Line

2+ Hits

29%

3+ Hits

7.7%

4+ Hits

1.4%

Unlock the full board

Create a free account to see this player's hits ladder.

Analytics

Power & Contact Profile

Barrel%

16.2%

Hard Hit%

51.3%

Exit Velo

93 mph

EV90

109.4 mph

Sweet Spot%

37.7%

Fly Ball%

28.8%

xSLG

0.812

ISO

0.259

25.2%

Contact%

68.5%

Bat Speed

73 mph

Swing Length

7.9 ft

Platoon HR%

7.0%

Analytics

Matchup History vs Andrew Alvarez

View Andrew Alvarez's report →

No recorded plate appearances between these two players.

Analytics

Opposing Pitcher — Andrew Alvarez

View Andrew Alvarez's report →

HR% Allowed

1.0%

Barrel% Allowed

4.5%

Hard Hit% Allowed

39.4%

xSLG Allowed

0.481

Fly Ball% Allowed

20.7%

HR/FB

7.3%

HR/9 (est.)

0.39

Unlock the full board

Create a free account to see matchup history.

Prop performance terminal

HITS RESULTS

Historical hits performance against the selected market line.

Select prop

Situation:

40% (4/10)· 1U streak

Hits Simulator

Move the line to instantly recalculate every result.

Active line

0.5

0.56

Over

Under

Push

Line 0.5Model 1.1

Sep 2

vs STL

UNDER

Hits

-0.5

Sep 1

vs STL

OVER

Hits

+0.5

Aug 30

@ DET

UNDER

Hits

-0.5

Aug 29

@ DET

OVER

Hits

+0.5

Aug 28

@ DET

UNDER

Hits

-0.5

Unlock the full board

Create a free account to see this player's prop trend chart.

Analytics

Facing Today

View Andrew Alvarez's report →

Pitch	Usage	Whiff%	Put-away%	Velo	Shohei Ohtani's K% vs Pitch
Curveball	30.4%	31.1%	24.8%	82.7	26.7%
4-Seam Fastball	29.5%	10.1%	14.9%	92.2	23.2%
Slider	18.9%	32.1%	18.5%	84.2	22.7%
Sinker	15.7%	14.5%	30%	91.7	17.4%
Changeup	5.6%	30.8%	0%	86.3	22.9%

Green = a plus pitch for Andrew Alvarez (Whiff%/Put-away% ≥30%/25%), or a real weakness for Shohei Ohtani (K% vs Pitch ≥25%)Red = a below-average pitch for the pitcher (≤15%/12%), or one Shohei Ohtani handles well (K% vs Pitch ≤12%)

Analytics

Vs. Pitcher's Arsenal (HR Model)

Pitch	Usage	P Hard Hit%	P wOBA	Batter Hard Hit%	Batter wOBA
Curveball	30.4%	50.9%	0.232	36.4%	0.243
4-Seam Fastball	29.5%	33.3%	0.374	56.6%	0.342
Slider	18.9%	34.3%	0.337	47.5%	0.326
Sinker	15.7%	47.4%	0.361	56.9%	0.551
Changeup	5.6%	7.7%	0.208	46.2%	0.398

Unlock the full board

Create a free account to see this player's arsenal matchup.