MLB hitter props

Gavin Sheets

vs Gerrit ColeProjected lineup4:10 PM ET

HR probability

9.6%

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Season HR%

2.9%

Park factor

2.8

Analytics

Hits Snapshot

Market line

0.5

Selected line

Model projection

0.9

Expected hits

Hit rate

50%

5 of 10 overs

Average Hits

0.5

Last 10 games

Average margin

+0.0

Vs selected line

Current streak

OVER

Stat color key

Colors compare each metric with its league-average baseline.

Elite25%+ above average

Above Average10–25% above

League AverageWithin 10%

Below Average10%+ below

Analytics

Hits, Bases & SB Props

Market	Projection	Line	Edge	Actual	Trend
Hits	0.9	—	+0.0	—	50% (5/10)· 1O streak
H+R+R	1.3	—	+0.0	—	30% (3/10)· 5U streak
Total Bases	1.1	—	+0.0	—	10% (1/10)· 7U streak
Stolen Bases	0.0	—	+0.0	—	0% (0/10)· 10U streak

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Analytics

Hits Ladder

1+ Hits

62.7%

2+ Hits

23.3%

3+ Hits

4.6%

4+ Hits

0.4%

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Analytics

Power & Contact Profile

Barrel%

5.0%

Hard Hit%

32.6%

Exit Velo

85.5 mph

EV90

103.2 mph

Sweet Spot%

26.2%

Fly Ball%

22.0%

xSLG

0.420

ISO

0.129

18.2%

Contact%

81.2%

Bat Speed

71.9 mph

Swing Length

7.61 ft

Platoon HR%

3.5%

Analytics

Matchup History vs Gerrit Cole

View Gerrit Cole's report →

Avg

0.500

Analytics

Opposing Pitcher — Gerrit Cole

View Gerrit Cole's report →

HR% Allowed

2.8%

Barrel% Allowed

7.9%

Hard Hit% Allowed

45.8%

xSLG Allowed

0.528

Fly Ball% Allowed

26.2%

HR/FB

15.9%

HR/9 (est.)

1.08

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Prop performance terminal

HITS RESULTS

Historical hits performance against the selected market line.

Select prop

Situation:

50% (5/10)· 1O streak

Hits Simulator

Move the line to instantly recalculate every result.

Active line

0.5

0.56

Over

Under

Push

Line 0.5Model 0.9

Aug 29

@ TB

OVER

Hits

+0.5

Aug 26

vs PIT

UNDER

Hits

-0.5

Aug 24

vs PIT

UNDER

Hits

-0.5

Aug 23

vs MIN

UNDER

Hits

-0.5

Aug 22

vs MIN

UNDER

Hits

-0.5

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Analytics

Facing Today

View Gerrit Cole's report →

Pitch	Usage	Whiff%	Put-away%	Velo	Gavin Sheets's K% vs Pitch
4-Seam Fastball	49.7%	21.8%	24.2%	96.9	8.8%
Slider	19.9%	24.6%	20.8%	89.8	15.5%
Knuckle Curve	14.4%	19.5%	16.3%	83.6	33.3%
Changeup	13.4%	23%	20.4%	86.2	14.9%
Sinker	2.6%	6.7%	16.7%	96.2	21.4%

Green = a plus pitch for Gerrit Cole (Whiff%/Put-away% ≥30%/25%), or a real weakness for Gavin Sheets (K% vs Pitch ≥25%)Red = a below-average pitch for the pitcher (≤15%/12%), or one Gavin Sheets handles well (K% vs Pitch ≤12%)

Analytics

Vs. Pitcher's Arsenal (HR Model)

Pitch	Usage	P Hard Hit%	P wOBA	Batter Hard Hit%	Batter wOBA
4-Seam Fastball	49.7%	50%	0.273	44.4%	0.350
Slider	19.9%	50%	0.318	31.8%	0.374
Knuckle Curve	14.4%	48.6%	0.370	--	0.790
Changeup	13.4%	28.6%	0.241	24%	0.249
Sinker	2.6%	57.1%	0.578	47.9%	0.280

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