MLB hitter props

Luis Arraez

vs Tyler MahleProjected lineup1:10 PM ET

HR probability

8.0%

Unlock the full board

Create a free account to see this player's HR probability.

Season HR%

1.3%

Park factor

3.3

Analytics

Hits Snapshot

Market line

1.5

DraftKings

Model projection

1.2

Expected hits

Hit rate

40%

4 of 10 overs

Average Hits

1.0

Last 10 games

Average margin

-0.5

Vs selected line

Current streak

OVER

Stat color key

Colors compare each metric with its league-average baseline.

Elite25%+ above average

Above Average10–25% above

League AverageWithin 10%

Below Average10%+ below

Analytics

Hits, Bases & SB Props

Market	Projection	Line	Edge	Actual	Trend
Hits	1.2	1.5DraftKings	-0.3	—	40% (4/10)· 2O streak
H+R+R	1.8	1.5DraftKings	+0.3	—	40% (4/10)· 2O streak
Total Bases	1.4	—	+0.0	—	40% (4/10)· 2O streak
Stolen Bases	0.0	—	+0.0	—	0% (0/10)· 10U streak

Unlock the full board

Create a free account to see this player's props.

Analytics

Hits Ladder

1+ Hits

72.3%

2+ Hits

33%Line

3+ Hits

9.7%

4+ Hits

1.7%

Unlock the full board

Create a free account to see this player's hits ladder.

Analytics

Power & Contact Profile

Barrel%

1.8%

Hard Hit%

16.1%

Exit Velo

84.8 mph

EV90

96.5 mph

Sweet Spot%

38.9%

Fly Ball%

32.5%

xSLG

0.404

ISO

0.118

4.2%

Contact%

94.4%

Bat Speed

61.3 mph

Swing Length

5.74 ft

Platoon HR%

1.8%

Analytics

Matchup History vs Tyler Mahle

View Tyler Mahle's report →

Avg

0.375

Analytics

Opposing Pitcher — Tyler Mahle

View Tyler Mahle's report →

HR% Allowed

2.2%

Barrel% Allowed

5.9%

Hard Hit% Allowed

41.2%

xSLG Allowed

0.534

Fly Ball% Allowed

26.2%

HR/FB

12.2%

HR/9 (est.)

0.85

Unlock the full board

Create a free account to see matchup history.

Prop performance terminal

HITS RESULTS

Historical hits performance against the selected market line.

Select prop

Situation:

40% (4/10)· 2O streak

Hits Simulator

Move the line to instantly recalculate every result.

Active line

1.5

0.56

Over

Under

Push

Line 1.5Model 1.2

Sep 5

vs ATL

OVER

Hits

+0.5

Sep 4

vs ATL

OVER

Hits

+0.5

Sep 2

@ ARI

UNDER

Hits

-1.5

Sep 1

@ ARI

OVER

Hits

+0.5

Aug 31

@ ARI

UNDER

Hits

-0.5

Unlock the full board

Create a free account to see this player's prop trend chart.

Analytics

Facing Today

View Tyler Mahle's report →

Pitch	Usage	Whiff%	Put-away%	Velo	Luis Arraez's K% vs Pitch
4-Seam Fastball	48.7%	24.1%	22.6%	93.2	4.8%
Splitter	31.2%	25.4%	20.9%	86.7	3.2%
Cutter	16.9%	20.8%	21.4%	87.7	5.6%
Slider	3.3%	33.3%	15.4%	85.3	4.8%

Green = a plus pitch for Tyler Mahle (Whiff%/Put-away% ≥30%/25%), or a real weakness for Luis Arraez (K% vs Pitch ≥25%)Red = a below-average pitch for the pitcher (≤15%/12%), or one Luis Arraez handles well (K% vs Pitch ≤12%)

Analytics

Vs. Pitcher's Arsenal (HR Model)

Pitch	Usage	P Hard Hit%	P wOBA	Batter Hard Hit%	Batter wOBA
4-Seam Fastball	48.7%	41.3%	0.293	20.3%	0.344
Splitter	31.2%	38.5%	0.246	9.5%	0.261
Cutter	16.9%	45%	0.321	27.6%	0.357
Slider	3.3%	50%	0.425	18.5%	0.313

Unlock the full board

Create a free account to see this player's arsenal matchup.