MLB hitter props

Rafael Devers

vs Christian ScottProjected lineup1:40 PM ET

HR probability

12.5%

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Season HR%

8.2%

Park factor

2.9

Analytics

Hits Snapshot

Market line

0.5

DraftKings

Model projection

1.1

Expected hits

Hit rate

90%

9 of 10 overs

Average Hits

1.6

Last 10 games

Average margin

+1.1

Vs selected line

Current streak

OVER

Stat color key

Colors compare each metric with its league-average baseline.

Elite25%+ above average

Above Average10–25% above

League AverageWithin 10%

Below Average10%+ below

Analytics

Hits, Bases & SB Props

Market	Projection	Line	Edge	Actual	Trend
Hits	1.1	0.5DraftKings	+0.6	—	90% (9/10)· 2O streak
H+R+R	2.3	1.5DraftKings	+0.8	—	90% (9/10)· 2O streak
Total Bases	1.9	—	+0.0	—	80% (8/10)· 2O streak
Stolen Bases	0.0	—	+0.0	—	0% (0/10)· 10U streak

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Analytics

Hits Ladder

1+ Hits

69.9%Line

2+ Hits

30.9%

3+ Hits

7.3%

4+ Hits

1.1%

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Analytics

Power & Contact Profile

Barrel%

14.4%

Hard Hit%

53.0%

Exit Velo

93.8 mph

EV90

107.3 mph

Sweet Spot%

31.2%

Fly Ball%

38.6%

xSLG

0.700

ISO

0.333

20.5%

Contact%

75.7%

Bat Speed

70.8 mph

Swing Length

7.45 ft

Platoon HR%

10.4%

Analytics

Matchup History vs Christian Scott

View Christian Scott's report →

No recorded plate appearances between these two players.

Analytics

Opposing Pitcher — Christian Scott

View Christian Scott's report →

HR% Allowed

3.5%

Barrel% Allowed

9.1%

Hard Hit% Allowed

36.4%

xSLG Allowed

0.544

Fly Ball% Allowed

27.3%

HR/FB

21.4%

HR/9 (est.)

1.36

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Prop performance terminal

HITS RESULTS

Historical hits performance against the selected market line.

Select prop

Situation:

90% (9/10)· 2O streak

Hits Simulator

Move the line to instantly recalculate every result.

Active line

0.5

0.56

Over

Under

Push

Line 0.5Model 1.1

Sep 5

@ NYM

OVER

Hits

+1.5

Sep 4

@ NYM

OVER

Hits

+2.5

Sep 3

@ PIT

UNDER

Hits

-0.5

Sep 2

@ PIT

OVER

Hits

+1.5

Sep 1

@ PIT

OVER

Hits

+0.5

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Analytics

Facing Today

View Christian Scott's report →

Pitch	Usage	Whiff%	Put-away%	Velo	Rafael Devers's K% vs Pitch
4-Seam Fastball	44.9%	27.9%	23.7%	95.4	22.2%
Sweeper	23.7%	28.7%	23%	81.4	26.5%
Cutter	19%	28.1%	23.7%	89.8	19.6%
Curveball	8.2%	10%	8.5%	81.8	11.4%
Splitter	2.7%	18.2%	10%	85.4	11.8%
Sinker	1.4%	25%	0%	91.8	14.3%

Green = a plus pitch for Christian Scott (Whiff%/Put-away% ≥30%/25%), or a real weakness for Rafael Devers (K% vs Pitch ≥25%)Red = a below-average pitch for the pitcher (≤15%/12%), or one Rafael Devers handles well (K% vs Pitch ≤12%)

Analytics

Vs. Pitcher's Arsenal (HR Model)

Pitch	Usage	P Hard Hit%	P wOBA	Batter Hard Hit%	Batter wOBA
4-Seam Fastball	44.9%	55.4%	0.357	60.2%	0.373
Sweeper	23.7%	17.5%	0.238	25.9%	0.234
Cutter	19%	30%	0.284	50%	0.552
Curveball	8.2%	35%	0.467	64.7%	0.424
Splitter	2.7%	20%	0.150	50%	0.489
Sinker	1.4%	--	--	52.3%	0.385

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