MLB hitter props
Brian Navarreto
HR probability
5.5%
Season HR%
1.9%
Park factor
2.3
Analytics
Hits Snapshot
Market line
0.5
Selected line
Model projection
0.8
Expected hits
Hit rate
10%
1 of 10 overs
Average Hits
0.1
Last 10 games
Average margin
-0.4
Vs selected line
Current streak
2
UNDER
Stat color key
Colors compare each metric with its league-average baseline.
Analytics
Hits, Bases & SB Props
| Market | Projection | Line | Edge | Actual | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hits | 0.8 | — | +0.0 | — | 10% (1/10)· 2U streak |
| H+R+R | 0.9 | — | +0.0 | — | 30% (3/10)· 2U streak |
| Total Bases | 0.6 | — | +0.0 | — | 10% (1/10)· 2U streak |
| Stolen Bases | 0.0 | — | +0.0 | — | 0% (0/10)· 10U streak |
Analytics
Hits Ladder
Analytics
Power & Contact Profile
Barrel%
6.7%
Hard Hit%
16.7%
Exit Velo
75.2 mph
EV90
103.5 mph
Sweet Spot%
23.3%
Fly Ball%
16.7%
xSLG
0.282
ISO
0.091
K%
34.6%
Contact%
69.0%
Bat Speed
68.8 mph
Swing Length
7.53 ft
Platoon HR%
0.0%
Analytics
Matchup History vs Clay Holmes
View Clay Holmes's report →No recorded plate appearances between these two players.
Analytics
Opposing Pitcher — Clay Holmes
View Clay Holmes's report →HR% Allowed
0.9%
Barrel% Allowed
4.8%
Hard Hit% Allowed
38.1%
xSLG Allowed
0.438
Fly Ball% Allowed
13.1%
HR/FB
9.1%
HR/9 (est.)
0.35
Prop performance terminal
HITS RESULTS
Historical hits performance against the selected market line.
Hits Simulator
Move the line to instantly recalculate every result.
Active line
0.5
Over
1
Under
9
Push
0
Sep 4
vs CHC
Hits
0
-0.5
Sep 1
@ KC
Hits
0
-0.5
Aug 31
@ WSH
Hits
1
+0.5
Aug 30
@ WSH
Hits
0
-0.5
Aug 29
@ WSH
Hits
0
-0.5
Analytics
Facing Today
View Clay Holmes's report →| Pitch | Usage | Whiff% | Put-away% | Velo | Brian Navarreto's K% vs Pitch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sinker | 48.6% | 7.3% | 16% | 92.3 | 0% |
| Sweeper | 16.7% | 12% | 4% | 80.4 | 12.5% |
| Cutter | 16.5% | 50% | 36.4% | 84.6 | 10% |
| Changeup | 12.1% | 31.8% | 21.1% | 87 | 40% |
| Curveball | 4% | 20% | 16.7% | 80 | 30% |
Green = a plus pitch for Clay Holmes (Whiff%/Put-away% ≥30%/25%), or a real weakness for Brian Navarreto (K% vs Pitch ≥25%)Red = a below-average pitch for the pitcher (≤15%/12%), or one Brian Navarreto handles well (K% vs Pitch ≤12%)
Analytics
Vs. Pitcher's Arsenal (HR Model)
| Pitch | Usage | P Hard Hit% | P wOBA | Batter Hard Hit% | Batter wOBA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sinker | 48.6% | 50.9% | 0.284 | 14.3% | 0.033 |
| Sweeper | 16.7% | 18.2% | 0.283 | -- | 0.233 |
| Cutter | 16.5% | 25% | 0.197 | 40% | 0.514 |
| Changeup | 12.1% | 11.1% | 0.138 | -- | 0.000 |
| Curveball | 4% | -- | -- | -- | -- |