MLB hitter props

Taylor Ward

vs Gage JumpProjected lineup4:10 PM ET

HR probability

11.5%

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Season HR%

1.4%

Park factor

3.4

Analytics

Hits Snapshot

Market line

0.5

DraftKings

Model projection

0.9

Expected hits

Hit rate

20%

2 of 10 overs

Average Hits

0.2

Last 10 games

Average margin

-0.3

Vs selected line

Current streak

UNDER

Stat color key

Colors compare each metric with its league-average baseline.

Elite25%+ above average

Above Average10–25% above

League AverageWithin 10%

Below Average10%+ below

Analytics

Hits, Bases & SB Props

Market	Projection	Line	Edge	Actual	Trend
Hits	0.9	0.5DraftKings	+0.4	—	20% (2/10)· 4U streak
H+R+R	1.4	1.5DraftKings	-0.1	—	10% (1/10)· 6U streak
Total Bases	1.0	—	+0.0	—	0% (0/10)· 10U streak
Stolen Bases	0.0	—	+0.0	—	0% (0/10)· 10U streak

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Analytics

Hits Ladder

1+ Hits

59.8%Line

2+ Hits

20.9%

3+ Hits

4.2%

4+ Hits

0.6%

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Analytics

Power & Contact Profile

Barrel%

5.4%

Hard Hit%

35.9%

Exit Velo

88.2 mph

EV90

102 mph

Sweet Spot%

37.5%

Fly Ball%

27.2%

xSLG

0.477

ISO

0.072

21.8%

Contact%

81.5%

Bat Speed

67.1 mph

Swing Length

6.92 ft

Platoon HR%

3.1%

Analytics

Matchup History vs Gage Jump

View Gage Jump's report →

No recorded plate appearances between these two players.

Analytics

Opposing Pitcher — Gage Jump

View Gage Jump's report →

HR% Allowed

3.0%

Barrel% Allowed

7.7%

Hard Hit% Allowed

42.0%

xSLG Allowed

0.588

Fly Ball% Allowed

28.5%

HR/FB

16.9%

HR/9 (est.)

1.16

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Prop performance terminal

HITS RESULTS

Historical hits performance against the selected market line.

Select prop

Situation:

20% (2/10)· 4U streak

Hits Simulator

Move the line to instantly recalculate every result.

Active line

0.5

0.56

Over

Under

Push

Line 0.5Model 0.9

Sep 5

vs ATH

UNDER

Hits

-0.5

Sep 4

vs ATH

UNDER

Hits

-0.5

Sep 3

vs ATH

UNDER

Hits

-0.5

Sep 2

@ BOS

UNDER

Hits

-0.5

Aug 31

@ BOS

OVER

Hits

+0.5

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Analytics

Facing Today

View Gage Jump's report →

Pitch	Usage	Whiff%	Put-away%	Velo	Taylor Ward's K% vs Pitch
4-Seam Fastball	45.9%	20.9%	21.5%	96.2	18%
Slider	22.7%	27.7%	17.8%	87	15.1%
Curveball	11%	24.3%	21.3%	82.3	22.9%
Changeup	9%	26.8%	11.1%	87.4	7.2%
Sinker	6%	21.4%	22.2%	95.1	22.3%
Sweeper	5.3%	40%	21.9%	83.6	15%

Green = a plus pitch for Gage Jump (Whiff%/Put-away% ≥30%/25%), or a real weakness for Taylor Ward (K% vs Pitch ≥25%)Red = a below-average pitch for the pitcher (≤15%/12%), or one Taylor Ward handles well (K% vs Pitch ≤12%)

Analytics

Vs. Pitcher's Arsenal (HR Model)

Pitch	Usage	P Hard Hit%	P wOBA	Batter Hard Hit%	Batter wOBA
4-Seam Fastball	45.9%	48.5%	0.419	47.8%	0.384
Slider	22.7%	28.8%	0.258	27.7%	0.220
Curveball	11%	56.5%	0.203	46.7%	0.244
Changeup	9%	37.5%	0.489	27.8%	0.229
Sinker	6%	30%	0.579	40.2%	0.391
Sweeper	5.3%	28.6%	0.167	31%	0.217

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