MLB hitter props

Brandon Nimmo

vs Ian SeymourProjected lineup2:35 PM ET

HR probability

11.0%

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Season HR%

2.3%

Park factor

3.2

Analytics

Hits Snapshot

Market line

0.5

DraftKings

Model projection

Expected hits

Hit rate

60%

6 of 10 overs

Average Hits

1.2

Last 10 games

Average margin

+0.7

Vs selected line

Current streak

UNDER

Stat color key

Colors compare each metric with its league-average baseline.

Elite25%+ above average

Above Average10–25% above

League AverageWithin 10%

Below Average10%+ below

Analytics

Hits, Bases & SB Props

Market	Projection	Line	Edge	Actual	Trend
Hits	1.0	0.5DraftKings	+0.5	—	60% (6/10)· 3U streak
H+R+R	2.1	1.5DraftKings	+0.6	—	50% (5/10)· 4U streak
Total Bases	1.6	—	+0.0	—	40% (4/10)· 4U streak
Stolen Bases	0.1	—	+0.0	—	10% (1/10)· 7U streak

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Analytics

Hits Ladder

1+ Hits

65.1%Line

2+ Hits

24.4%

3+ Hits

5.4%

4+ Hits

0.8%

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Analytics

Power & Contact Profile

Barrel%

8.3%

Hard Hit%

51.2%

Exit Velo

92.7 mph

EV90

105.8 mph

Sweet Spot%

37.8%

Fly Ball%

24.4%

xSLG

0.567

ISO

0.159

21.2%

Contact%

80.8%

Bat Speed

70.5 mph

Swing Length

6.9 ft

Platoon HR%

4.0%

Analytics

Matchup History vs Ian Seymour

View Ian Seymour's report →

Avg

0.000

Analytics

Opposing Pitcher — Ian Seymour

View Ian Seymour's report →

HR% Allowed

4.8%

Barrel% Allowed

9.5%

Hard Hit% Allowed

35.1%

xSLG Allowed

0.568

Fly Ball% Allowed

28.4%

HR/FB

26.7%

HR/9 (est.)

1.84

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Prop performance terminal

HITS RESULTS

Historical hits performance against the selected market line.

Select prop

Situation:

60% (6/10)· 3U streak

Hits Simulator

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Active line

0.5

0.56

Over

Under

Push

Line 0.5Model 1

Sep 5

vs TB

UNDER

Hits

-0.5

Sep 4

vs TB

UNDER

Hits

-0.5

Sep 3

vs TB

UNDER

Hits

-0.5

Sep 2

vs ATH

OVER

Hits

+0.5

Sep 1

vs ATH

OVER

Hits

+3.5

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Analytics

Facing Today

View Ian Seymour's report →

Pitch	Usage	Whiff%	Put-away%	Velo	Brandon Nimmo's K% vs Pitch
4-Seam Fastball	29.6%	23.7%	23.8%	91.3	14.9%
Changeup	28.1%	37.6%	27%	83.4	25.6%
Sweeper	20.5%	22.2%	21.5%	81.6	16.1%
Sinker	14%	4.2%	15.8%	89.9	17.8%
Slider	6.7%	30.6%	24%	83.4	18.6%
Curveball	1.1%	50%	0%	72.7	8.6%

Green = a plus pitch for Ian Seymour (Whiff%/Put-away% ≥30%/25%), or a real weakness for Brandon Nimmo (K% vs Pitch ≥25%)Red = a below-average pitch for the pitcher (≤15%/12%), or one Brandon Nimmo handles well (K% vs Pitch ≤12%)

Analytics

Vs. Pitcher's Arsenal (HR Model)

Pitch	Usage	P Hard Hit%	P wOBA	Batter Hard Hit%	Batter wOBA
4-Seam Fastball	29.6%	44.4%	0.279	45.9%	0.339
Changeup	28.1%	29.9%	0.268	50%	0.284
Sweeper	20.5%	27.5%	0.389	62.5%	0.333
Sinker	14%	32.4%	0.410	50.8%	0.323
Slider	6.7%	46.7%	0.395	54.9%	0.379
Curveball	1.1%	--	--	52.6%	0.235

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