MLB hitter props

Mookie Betts

vs Andrew AlvarezProjected lineup10:10 PM ET

HR probability

9.4%

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Season HR%

3.5%

Park factor

3.1

Analytics

Hits Snapshot

Market line

0.5

DraftKings

Model projection

1.1

Expected hits

Hit rate

90%

9 of 10 overs

Average Hits

1.4

Last 10 games

Average margin

+0.9

Vs selected line

Current streak

OVER

Stat color key

Colors compare each metric with its league-average baseline.

Elite25%+ above average

Above Average10–25% above

League AverageWithin 10%

Below Average10%+ below

Analytics

Hits, Bases & SB Props

Market	Projection	Line	Edge	Actual	Trend
Hits	1.1	0.5DraftKings	+0.6	—	90% (9/10)· 2O streak
H+R+R	2.0	1.5DraftKings	+0.5	—	70% (7/10)· 2O streak
Total Bases	1.6	—	+0.0	—	60% (6/10)· 2O streak
Stolen Bases	0.0	—	+0.0	—	0% (0/10)· 10U streak

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Analytics

Hits Ladder

1+ Hits

69.4%Line

2+ Hits

28.9%

3+ Hits

7.4%

4+ Hits

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Analytics

Power & Contact Profile

Barrel%

6.3%

Hard Hit%

39.4%

Exit Velo

90.3 mph

EV90

102 mph

Sweet Spot%

40.6%

Fly Ball%

31.1%

xSLG

0.477

ISO

0.168

11.1%

Contact%

88.7%

Bat Speed

67.8 mph

Swing Length

6.91 ft

Platoon HR%

1.9%

Analytics

Matchup History vs Andrew Alvarez

View Andrew Alvarez's report →

No recorded plate appearances between these two players.

Analytics

Opposing Pitcher — Andrew Alvarez

View Andrew Alvarez's report →

HR% Allowed

1.0%

Barrel% Allowed

4.5%

Hard Hit% Allowed

39.4%

xSLG Allowed

0.481

Fly Ball% Allowed

20.7%

HR/FB

7.3%

HR/9 (est.)

0.39

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Prop performance terminal

HITS RESULTS

Historical hits performance against the selected market line.

Select prop

Situation:

90% (9/10)· 2O streak

Hits Simulator

Move the line to instantly recalculate every result.

Active line

0.5

0.56

Over

Under

Push

Line 0.5Model 1.1

Sep 5

vs WSH

OVER

Hits

+1.5

Sep 4

vs WSH

OVER

Hits

+1.5

Sep 3

vs STL

UNDER

Hits

-0.5

Sep 2

vs STL

OVER

Hits

+1.5

Sep 1

vs STL

OVER

Hits

+1.5

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Analytics

Facing Today

View Andrew Alvarez's report →

Pitch	Usage	Whiff%	Put-away%	Velo	Mookie Betts's K% vs Pitch
Curveball	30.4%	31.1%	24.8%	82.7	13.6%
4-Seam Fastball	29.5%	10.1%	14.9%	92.2	8.4%
Slider	18.9%	32.1%	18.5%	84.2	17.4%
Sinker	15.7%	14.5%	30%	91.7	9.8%
Changeup	5.6%	30.8%	0%	86.3	13.3%

Green = a plus pitch for Andrew Alvarez (Whiff%/Put-away% ≥30%/25%), or a real weakness for Mookie Betts (K% vs Pitch ≥25%)Red = a below-average pitch for the pitcher (≤15%/12%), or one Mookie Betts handles well (K% vs Pitch ≤12%)

Analytics

Vs. Pitcher's Arsenal (HR Model)

Pitch	Usage	P Hard Hit%	P wOBA	Batter Hard Hit%	Batter wOBA
Curveball	30.4%	50.9%	0.232	23.1%	0.147
4-Seam Fastball	29.5%	33.3%	0.374	40%	0.319
Slider	18.9%	34.3%	0.337	25.6%	0.349
Sinker	15.7%	47.4%	0.361	50%	0.380
Changeup	5.6%	7.7%	0.208	31.6%	0.228

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