MLB hitter props

Trevor Story

vs Kyle BradishProjected lineup1:35 PM ET

HR probability

9.9%

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Season HR%

0.0%

Park factor

3.2

Analytics

Hits Snapshot

Market line

0.5

DraftKings

Model projection

0.9

Expected hits

Hit rate

90%

9 of 10 overs

Average Hits

1.5

Last 10 games

Average margin

+1.0

Vs selected line

Current streak

OVER

Stat color key

Colors compare each metric with its league-average baseline.

Elite25%+ above average

Above Average10–25% above

League AverageWithin 10%

Below Average10%+ below

Analytics

Hits, Bases & SB Props

Market	Projection	Line	Edge	Actual	Trend
Hits	0.9	0.5DraftKings	+0.4	—	90% (9/10)· 6O streak
H+R+R	1.8	1.5DraftKings	+0.3	—	70% (7/10)· 1O streak
Total Bases	1.5	—	+0.0	—	70% (7/10)· 1O streak
Stolen Bases	0.1	0.5DraftKings	-0.4	—	0% (0/10)· 10U streak

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Analytics

Hits Ladder

1+ Hits

63%Line

2+ Hits

22.1%

3+ Hits

4.4%

4+ Hits

0.4%

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Analytics

Power & Contact Profile

Barrel%

11.8%

Hard Hit%

29.4%

Exit Velo

86.2 mph

EV90

102 mph

Sweet Spot%

41.2%

Fly Ball%

29.4%

xSLG

0.558

ISO

0.160

32.0%

Contact%

70.8%

Bat Speed

69.6 mph

Swing Length

7.39 ft

Platoon HR%

0.0%

Analytics

Matchup History vs Kyle Bradish

View Kyle Bradish's report →

Avg

0.083

Analytics

Opposing Pitcher — Kyle Bradish

View Kyle Bradish's report →

HR% Allowed

2.7%

Barrel% Allowed

6.5%

Hard Hit% Allowed

39.7%

xSLG Allowed

0.519

Fly Ball% Allowed

27.6%

HR/FB

14.1%

HR/9 (est.)

1.05

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Prop performance terminal

HITS RESULTS

Historical hits performance against the selected market line.

Select prop

Situation:

90% (9/10)· 6O streak

Hits Simulator

Move the line to instantly recalculate every result.

Active line

0.5

0.56

Over

Under

Push

Line 0.5Model 0.9

Sep 5

@ BAL

OVER

Hits

+2.5

Sep 4

@ BAL

OVER

Hits

+0.5

Sep 2

vs SEA

OVER

Hits

+0.5

Sep 1

vs SEA

OVER

Hits

+1.5

Aug 31

vs SEA

OVER

Hits

+1.5

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Analytics

Facing Today

View Kyle Bradish's report →

Pitch	Usage	Whiff%	Put-away%	Velo	Trevor Story's K% vs Pitch
Sinker	41.2%	10.7%	20.1%	94.8	20.8%
Slider	21.8%	39%	16.5%	88	23.5%
Curveball	20.9%	29.4%	14.7%	85.4	34.8%
4-Seam Fastball	15%	13%	20.7%	94.4	28.9%
Changeup	1.1%	—	0%	90.4	23.1%

Green = a plus pitch for Kyle Bradish (Whiff%/Put-away% ≥30%/25%), or a real weakness for Trevor Story (K% vs Pitch ≥25%)Red = a below-average pitch for the pitcher (≤15%/12%), or one Trevor Story handles well (K% vs Pitch ≤12%)

Analytics

Vs. Pitcher's Arsenal (HR Model)

Pitch	Usage	P Hard Hit%	P wOBA	Batter Hard Hit%	Batter wOBA
Sinker	41.2%	41.2%	0.298	54.2%	0.416
Slider	21.8%	28.9%	0.347	31.8%	0.312
Curveball	20.9%	46.7%	0.390	42.9%	0.281
4-Seam Fastball	15%	37.1%	0.395	52%	0.275
Changeup	1.1%	--	--	33.3%	0.203

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