MLB hitter props
Austin Hedges
HR probability
9.8%
Season HR%
3.3%
Park factor
2.8
Analytics
Hits Snapshot
Market line
0.5
Selected line
Model projection
0.9
Expected hits
Hit rate
40%
4 of 10 overs
Average Hits
0.5
Last 10 games
Average margin
+0.0
Vs selected line
Current streak
2
UNDER
Stat color key
Colors compare each metric with its league-average baseline.
Analytics
Hits, Bases & SB Props
| Market | Projection | Line | Edge | Actual | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hits | 0.9 | — | +0.0 | — | 40% (4/10)· 2U streak |
| H+R+R | 1.3 | — | +0.0 | — | 30% (3/10)· 2U streak |
| Total Bases | 1.0 | — | +0.0 | — | 20% (2/10)· 6U streak |
| Stolen Bases | 0.0 | — | +0.0 | — | 0% (0/10)· 10U streak |
Analytics
Hits Ladder
Analytics
Power & Contact Profile
Barrel%
8.0%
Hard Hit%
30.7%
Exit Velo
83.9 mph
EV90
101.6 mph
Sweet Spot%
28.4%
Fly Ball%
30.7%
xSLG
0.417
ISO
0.139
K%
18.0%
Contact%
78.1%
Bat Speed
65.6 mph
Swing Length
7.08 ft
Platoon HR%
4.6%
Analytics
Matchup History vs Jackson Jobe
View Jackson Jobe's report →No recorded plate appearances between these two players.
Analytics
Opposing Pitcher — Jackson Jobe
View Jackson Jobe's report →HR% Allowed
3.9%
Barrel% Allowed
11.1%
Hard Hit% Allowed
40.3%
xSLG Allowed
0.589
Fly Ball% Allowed
23.6%
HR/FB
23.5%
HR/9 (est.)
1.49
Prop performance terminal
HITS RESULTS
Historical hits performance against the selected market line.
Hits Simulator
Move the line to instantly recalculate every result.
Active line
0.5
Over
4
Under
6
Push
0
Sep 5
vs DET
Hits
0
-0.5
Sep 4
vs DET
Hits
0
-0.5
Sep 3
vs TOR
Hits
1
+0.5
Aug 30
vs KC
Hits
0
-0.5
Aug 29
vs KC
Hits
0
-0.5
Analytics
Facing Today
View Jackson Jobe's report →| Pitch | Usage | Whiff% | Put-away% | Velo | Austin Hedges's K% vs Pitch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-Seam Fastball | 35.5% | 9.9% | 20.5% | 97.8 | 13.6% |
| Slider | 24.2% | 18.8% | 4.5% | 90 | 18.6% |
| Sinker | 16.9% | 15.6% | 9.1% | 96 | 27.3% |
| Changeup | 11.7% | 31.6% | 15.8% | 86.1 | 14.3% |
| Curveball | 11.7% | 17.6% | 27.3% | 83.4 | 25% |
Green = a plus pitch for Jackson Jobe (Whiff%/Put-away% ≥30%/25%), or a real weakness for Austin Hedges (K% vs Pitch ≥25%)Red = a below-average pitch for the pitcher (≤15%/12%), or one Austin Hedges handles well (K% vs Pitch ≤12%)
Analytics
Vs. Pitcher's Arsenal (HR Model)
| Pitch | Usage | P Hard Hit% | P wOBA | Batter Hard Hit% | Batter wOBA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-Seam Fastball | 35.5% | 46.4% | 0.461 | 30.5% | 0.328 |
| Slider | 24.2% | 17.6% | 0.311 | 35% | 0.245 |
| Sinker | 16.9% | 40% | 0.317 | 28.1% | 0.392 |
| Changeup | 11.7% | 40% | 0.230 | 58.3% | 0.525 |
| Curveball | 11.7% | 71.4% | 0.411 | -- | 0.087 |