MLB hitter props

Joc Pederson

vs Ian SeymourProjected lineup2:35 PM ET

HR probability

13.3%

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Season HR%

7.7%

Park factor

3.2

Analytics

Hits Snapshot

Market line

1.5

Selected line

Model projection

Expected hits

Hit rate

0 of 10 overs

Average Hits

0.6

Last 10 games

Average margin

-0.9

Vs selected line

Current streak

UNDER

Stat color key

Colors compare each metric with its league-average baseline.

Elite25%+ above average

Above Average10–25% above

League AverageWithin 10%

Below Average10%+ below

Analytics

Hits, Bases & SB Props

Market	Projection	Line	Edge	Actual	Trend
Hits	1.0	—	+0.0	—	0% (0/10)· 10U streak
H+R+R	1.4	—	+0.0	—	50% (5/10)· 1O streak
Total Bases	1.1	—	+0.0	—	30% (3/10)· 1O streak
Stolen Bases	0.0	—	+0.0	—	0% (0/10)· 10U streak

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Analytics

Hits Ladder

1+ Hits

63.7%

2+ Hits

24.8%

3+ Hits

5.7%

4+ Hits

0.8%

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Analytics

Power & Contact Profile

Barrel%

13.1%

Hard Hit%

54.0%

Exit Velo

92.8 mph

EV90

105.3 mph

Sweet Spot%

29.2%

Fly Ball%

35.0%

xSLG

0.676

ISO

0.286

27.3%

Contact%

72.2%

Bat Speed

70.6 mph

Swing Length

7.36 ft

Platoon HR%

0.0%

Analytics

Matchup History vs Ian Seymour

View Ian Seymour's report →

No recorded plate appearances between these two players.

Analytics

Opposing Pitcher — Ian Seymour

View Ian Seymour's report →

HR% Allowed

4.8%

Barrel% Allowed

9.5%

Hard Hit% Allowed

35.1%

xSLG Allowed

0.568

Fly Ball% Allowed

28.4%

HR/FB

26.7%

HR/9 (est.)

1.84

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Prop performance terminal

HITS RESULTS

Historical hits performance against the selected market line.

Select prop

Situation:

0% (0/10)· 10U streak

Hits Simulator

Move the line to instantly recalculate every result.

Active line

1.5

0.56

Over

Under

Push

Line 1.5Model 1

Sep 5

vs TB

UNDER

Hits

-0.5

Sep 4

vs TB

UNDER

Hits

-1.5

Sep 3

vs TB

UNDER

Hits

-0.5

Sep 1

vs ATH

UNDER

Hits

-0.5

Aug 31

vs ATH

UNDER

Hits

-1.5

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Analytics

Facing Today

View Ian Seymour's report →

Pitch	Usage	Whiff%	Put-away%	Velo	Joc Pederson's K% vs Pitch
4-Seam Fastball	29.6%	23.7%	23.8%	91.3	20.7%
Changeup	28.1%	37.6%	27%	83.4	16.5%
Sweeper	20.5%	22.2%	21.5%	81.6	14%
Sinker	14%	4.2%	15.8%	89.9	18.9%
Slider	6.7%	30.6%	24%	83.4	21.6%
Curveball	1.1%	50%	0%	72.7	20%

Green = a plus pitch for Ian Seymour (Whiff%/Put-away% ≥30%/25%), or a real weakness for Joc Pederson (K% vs Pitch ≥25%)Red = a below-average pitch for the pitcher (≤15%/12%), or one Joc Pederson handles well (K% vs Pitch ≤12%)

Analytics

Vs. Pitcher's Arsenal (HR Model)

Pitch	Usage	P Hard Hit%	P wOBA	Batter Hard Hit%	Batter wOBA
4-Seam Fastball	29.6%	44.4%	0.279	56.8%	0.365
Changeup	28.1%	29.9%	0.268	43.4%	0.248
Sweeper	20.5%	27.5%	0.389	72.7%	0.555
Sinker	14%	32.4%	0.410	66.7%	0.387
Slider	6.7%	46.7%	0.395	62.5%	0.327
Curveball	1.1%	--	--	25%	0.219

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