MLB hitter props

Manny Machado

vs Gerrit ColeProjected lineup4:10 PM ET

HR probability

13.2%

Unlock the full board

Create a free account to see this player's HR probability.

Season HR%

4.2%

Park factor

2.8

Analytics

Hits Snapshot

Market line

0.5

DraftKings

Model projection

Expected hits

Hit rate

60%

6 of 10 overs

Average Hits

1.0

Last 10 games

Average margin

+0.5

Vs selected line

Current streak

OVER

Stat color key

Colors compare each metric with its league-average baseline.

Elite25%+ above average

Above Average10–25% above

League AverageWithin 10%

Below Average10%+ below

Analytics

Hits, Bases & SB Props

Market	Projection	Line	Edge	Actual	Trend
Hits	1.0	0.5DraftKings	+0.5	—	60% (6/10)· 2O streak
H+R+R	1.8	1.5DraftKings	+0.3	—	50% (5/10)· 1O streak
Total Bases	1.4	—	+0.0	—	30% (3/10)· 1O streak
Stolen Bases	0.1	—	+0.0	—	30% (3/10)· 1O streak

Unlock the full board

Create a free account to see this player's props.

Analytics

Hits Ladder

1+ Hits

67.2%Line

2+ Hits

26.9%

3+ Hits

6.8%

4+ Hits

Unlock the full board

Create a free account to see this player's hits ladder.

Analytics

Power & Contact Profile

Barrel%

10.3%

Hard Hit%

45.5%

Exit Velo

90.6 mph

EV90

105 mph

Sweet Spot%

37.5%

Fly Ball%

29.9%

xSLG

0.588

ISO

0.197

19.8%

Contact%

76.2%

Bat Speed

73.1 mph

Swing Length

7.85 ft

Platoon HR%

4.9%

Analytics

Matchup History vs Gerrit Cole

View Gerrit Cole's report →

Avg

1.000

Analytics

Opposing Pitcher — Gerrit Cole

View Gerrit Cole's report →

HR% Allowed

2.8%

Barrel% Allowed

7.9%

Hard Hit% Allowed

45.8%

xSLG Allowed

0.528

Fly Ball% Allowed

26.2%

HR/FB

15.9%

HR/9 (est.)

1.08

Unlock the full board

Create a free account to see matchup history.

Prop performance terminal

HITS RESULTS

Historical hits performance against the selected market line.

Select prop

Situation:

60% (6/10)· 2O streak

Hits Simulator

Move the line to instantly recalculate every result.

Active line

0.5

0.56

Over

Under

Push

Line 0.5Model 1

Sep 5

vs NYY

OVER

Hits

+0.5

Sep 4

vs NYY

OVER

Hits

+0.5

Sep 1

@ CIN

UNDER

Hits

-0.5

Aug 31

@ CIN

OVER

Hits

+3.5

Aug 30

@ TB

OVER

Hits

+0.5

Unlock the full board

Create a free account to see this player's prop trend chart.

Analytics

Facing Today

View Gerrit Cole's report →

Pitch	Usage	Whiff%	Put-away%	Velo	Manny Machado's K% vs Pitch
4-Seam Fastball	49.7%	21.8%	24.2%	96.9	21.8%
Slider	19.9%	24.6%	20.8%	89.8	18.2%
Knuckle Curve	14.4%	19.5%	16.3%	83.6	23.1%
Changeup	13.4%	23%	20.4%	86.2	22.9%
Sinker	2.6%	6.7%	16.7%	96.2	16.7%

Green = a plus pitch for Gerrit Cole (Whiff%/Put-away% ≥30%/25%), or a real weakness for Manny Machado (K% vs Pitch ≥25%)Red = a below-average pitch for the pitcher (≤15%/12%), or one Manny Machado handles well (K% vs Pitch ≤12%)

Analytics

Vs. Pitcher's Arsenal (HR Model)

Pitch	Usage	P Hard Hit%	P wOBA	Batter Hard Hit%	Batter wOBA
4-Seam Fastball	49.7%	50%	0.273	58.5%	0.416
Slider	19.9%	50%	0.318	27.5%	0.287
Knuckle Curve	14.4%	48.6%	0.370	33.3%	0.200
Changeup	13.4%	28.6%	0.241	26.8%	0.228
Sinker	2.6%	57.1%	0.578	57.9%	0.320

Unlock the full board

Create a free account to see this player's arsenal matchup.