MLB hitter props

Willson Contreras

vs Kyle BradishProjected lineup1:35 PM ET

HR probability

11.0%

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Season HR%

4.9%

Park factor

3.2

Analytics

Hits Snapshot

Market line

1.5

Selected line

Model projection

Expected hits

Hit rate

20%

2 of 10 overs

Average Hits

0.7

Last 10 games

Average margin

-0.8

Vs selected line

Current streak

UNDER

Stat color key

Colors compare each metric with its league-average baseline.

Elite25%+ above average

Above Average10–25% above

League AverageWithin 10%

Below Average10%+ below

Analytics

Hits, Bases & SB Props

Market	Projection	Line	Edge	Actual	Trend
Hits	1.0	—	+0.0	—	20% (2/10)· 4U streak
H+R+R	1.8	—	+0.0	—	40% (4/10)· 1U streak
Total Bases	1.5	—	+0.0	—	40% (4/10)· 1U streak
Stolen Bases	0.0	—	+0.0	—	0% (0/10)· 10U streak

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Analytics

Hits Ladder

1+ Hits

66.6%

2+ Hits

25.7%

3+ Hits

6.2%

4+ Hits

0.8%

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Analytics

Power & Contact Profile

Barrel%

11.2%

Hard Hit%

42.8%

Exit Velo

88.4 mph

EV90

107 mph

Sweet Spot%

34.2%

Fly Ball%

32.9%

xSLG

0.624

ISO

0.241

25.8%

Contact%

70.8%

Bat Speed

75.2 mph

Swing Length

7.75 ft

Platoon HR%

5.6%

Analytics

Matchup History vs Kyle Bradish

View Kyle Bradish's report →

Avg

0.500

Analytics

Opposing Pitcher — Kyle Bradish

View Kyle Bradish's report →

HR% Allowed

2.7%

Barrel% Allowed

6.5%

Hard Hit% Allowed

39.7%

xSLG Allowed

0.519

Fly Ball% Allowed

27.6%

HR/FB

14.1%

HR/9 (est.)

1.05

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Prop performance terminal

HITS RESULTS

Historical hits performance against the selected market line.

Select prop

Situation:

20% (2/10)· 4U streak

Hits Simulator

Move the line to instantly recalculate every result.

Active line

1.5

0.56

Over

Under

Push

Line 1.5Model 1

Aug 30

@ NYY

UNDER

Hits

-1.5

Aug 29

@ NYY

UNDER

Hits

-0.5

Aug 29

@ NYY

UNDER

Hits

-1.5

Aug 28

@ NYY

UNDER

Hits

-1.5

Aug 25

@ MIA

OVER

Hits

+0.5

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Analytics

Facing Today

View Kyle Bradish's report →

Pitch	Usage	Whiff%	Put-away%	Velo	Willson Contreras's K% vs Pitch
Sinker	41.2%	10.7%	20.1%	94.8	12%
Slider	21.8%	39%	16.5%	88	30.1%
Curveball	20.9%	29.4%	14.7%	85.4	26.2%
4-Seam Fastball	15%	13%	20.7%	94.4	18.2%
Changeup	1.1%	—	0%	90.4	25.3%

Green = a plus pitch for Kyle Bradish (Whiff%/Put-away% ≥30%/25%), or a real weakness for Willson Contreras (K% vs Pitch ≥25%)Red = a below-average pitch for the pitcher (≤15%/12%), or one Willson Contreras handles well (K% vs Pitch ≤12%)

Analytics

Vs. Pitcher's Arsenal (HR Model)

Pitch	Usage	P Hard Hit%	P wOBA	Batter Hard Hit%	Batter wOBA
Sinker	41.2%	41.2%	0.298	45.2%	0.497
Slider	21.8%	28.9%	0.347	42.4%	0.355
Curveball	20.9%	46.7%	0.390	40%	0.187
4-Seam Fastball	15%	37.1%	0.395	40.9%	0.396
Changeup	1.1%	--	--	50%	0.471

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