MLB hitter props

Max Muncy

vs Andrew AlvarezProjected lineup10:10 PM ET

HR probability

10.5%

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Season HR%

4.6%

Park factor

3.1

Analytics

Hits Snapshot

Market line

1.5

Selected line

Model projection

Expected hits

Hit rate

0 of 10 overs

Average Hits

0.2

Last 10 games

Average margin

-1.3

Vs selected line

Current streak

UNDER

Stat color key

Colors compare each metric with its league-average baseline.

Elite25%+ above average

Above Average10–25% above

League AverageWithin 10%

Below Average10%+ below

Analytics

Hits, Bases & SB Props

Market	Projection	Line	Edge	Actual	Trend
Hits	1.0	—	+0.0	—	0% (0/10)· 10U streak
H+R+R	1.6	—	+0.0	—	10% (1/10)· 4U streak
Total Bases	1.4	—	+0.0	—	0% (0/10)· 10U streak
Stolen Bases	0.0	—	+0.0	—	0% (0/10)· 10U streak

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Analytics

Hits Ladder

1+ Hits

64.4%

2+ Hits

24.4%

3+ Hits

5.9%

4+ Hits

0.9%

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Analytics

Power & Contact Profile

Barrel%

10.1%

Hard Hit%

43.0%

Exit Velo

89.9 mph

EV90

103.4 mph

Sweet Spot%

36.7%

Fly Ball%

34.8%

xSLG

0.574

ISO

0.226

25.3%

Contact%

72.3%

Bat Speed

69.3 mph

Swing Length

6.86 ft

Platoon HR%

4.8%

Analytics

Matchup History vs Andrew Alvarez

View Andrew Alvarez's report →

No recorded plate appearances between these two players.

Analytics

Opposing Pitcher — Andrew Alvarez

View Andrew Alvarez's report →

HR% Allowed

1.0%

Barrel% Allowed

4.5%

Hard Hit% Allowed

39.4%

xSLG Allowed

0.481

Fly Ball% Allowed

20.7%

HR/FB

7.3%

HR/9 (est.)

0.39

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Prop performance terminal

HITS RESULTS

Historical hits performance against the selected market line.

Select prop

Situation:

0% (0/10)· 10U streak

Hits Simulator

Move the line to instantly recalculate every result.

Active line

1.5

0.56

Over

Under

Push

Line 1.5Model 1

Sep 4

vs WSH

UNDER

Hits

-1.5

Sep 3

vs STL

UNDER

Hits

-1.5

Sep 2

vs STL

UNDER

Hits

-1.5

Sep 1

vs STL

UNDER

Hits

-1.5

Aug 30

@ DET

UNDER

Hits

-0.5

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Analytics

Facing Today

View Andrew Alvarez's report →

Pitch	Usage	Whiff%	Put-away%	Velo	Max Muncy's K% vs Pitch
Curveball	30.4%	31.1%	24.8%	82.7	21.1%
4-Seam Fastball	29.5%	10.1%	14.9%	92.2	16%
Slider	18.9%	32.1%	18.5%	84.2	28.4%
Sinker	15.7%	14.5%	30%	91.7	12.5%
Changeup	5.6%	30.8%	0%	86.3	18.7%

Green = a plus pitch for Andrew Alvarez (Whiff%/Put-away% ≥30%/25%), or a real weakness for Max Muncy (K% vs Pitch ≥25%)Red = a below-average pitch for the pitcher (≤15%/12%), or one Max Muncy handles well (K% vs Pitch ≤12%)

Analytics

Vs. Pitcher's Arsenal (HR Model)

Pitch	Usage	P Hard Hit%	P wOBA	Batter Hard Hit%	Batter wOBA
Curveball	30.4%	50.9%	0.232	43.5%	0.296
4-Seam Fastball	29.5%	33.3%	0.374	64.4%	0.460
Slider	18.9%	34.3%	0.337	53.1%	0.402
Sinker	15.7%	47.4%	0.361	38.1%	0.351
Changeup	5.6%	7.7%	0.208	32.8%	0.305

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