MLB hitter props
Enrique Hernández
HR probability
11.2%
Season HR%
1.8%
Park factor
3.1
Analytics
Hits Snapshot
Market line
0.5
DraftKings
Model projection
0.9
Expected hits
Hit rate
40%
4 of 10 overs
Average Hits
0.4
Last 10 games
Average margin
-0.1
Vs selected line
Current streak
1
OVER
Stat color key
Colors compare each metric with its league-average baseline.
Analytics
Hits, Bases & SB Props
| Market | Projection | Line | Edge | Actual | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hits | 0.9 | 0.5DraftKings | +0.4 | — | 40% (4/10)· 1O streak |
| H+R+R | 1.3 | 1.5DraftKings | -0.2 | — | 30% (3/10)· 1O streak |
| Total Bases | 1.0 | — | +0.0 | — | 0% (0/10)· 10U streak |
| Stolen Bases | 0.0 | — | +0.0 | — | 0% (0/10)· 10U streak |
Analytics
Hits Ladder
Analytics
Power & Contact Profile
Barrel%
3.1%
Hard Hit%
34.4%
Exit Velo
88 mph
EV90
102.4 mph
Sweet Spot%
25.0%
Fly Ball%
25.0%
xSLG
0.419
ISO
0.059
K%
34.5%
Contact%
71.2%
Bat Speed
67.7 mph
Swing Length
7.34 ft
Platoon HR%
2.8%
Analytics
Matchup History vs Andrew Alvarez
View Andrew Alvarez's report →No recorded plate appearances between these two players.
Analytics
Opposing Pitcher — Andrew Alvarez
View Andrew Alvarez's report →HR% Allowed
1.0%
Barrel% Allowed
4.5%
Hard Hit% Allowed
39.4%
xSLG Allowed
0.481
Fly Ball% Allowed
20.7%
HR/FB
7.3%
HR/9 (est.)
0.39
Prop performance terminal
HITS RESULTS
Historical hits performance against the selected market line.
Hits Simulator
Move the line to instantly recalculate every result.
Active line
0.5
Over
4
Under
6
Push
0
Sep 5
vs WSH
Hits
1
+0.5
Sep 4
vs WSH
Hits
0
-0.5
Sep 3
vs STL
Hits
0
-0.5
Sep 2
vs STL
Hits
0
-0.5
Sep 1
vs STL
Hits
1
+0.5
Analytics
Facing Today
View Andrew Alvarez's report →| Pitch | Usage | Whiff% | Put-away% | Velo | Enrique Hernández's K% vs Pitch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Curveball | 30.4% | 31.1% | 24.8% | 82.7 | 60% |
| 4-Seam Fastball | 29.5% | 10.1% | 14.9% | 92.2 | 13.3% |
| Slider | 18.9% | 32.1% | 18.5% | 84.2 | — |
| Sinker | 15.7% | 14.5% | 30% | 91.7 | 0% |
| Changeup | 5.6% | 30.8% | 0% | 86.3 | 20% |
Green = a plus pitch for Andrew Alvarez (Whiff%/Put-away% ≥30%/25%), or a real weakness for Enrique Hernández (K% vs Pitch ≥25%)Red = a below-average pitch for the pitcher (≤15%/12%), or one Enrique Hernández handles well (K% vs Pitch ≤12%)
Analytics
Vs. Pitcher's Arsenal (HR Model)
| Pitch | Usage | P Hard Hit% | P wOBA | Batter Hard Hit% | Batter wOBA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Curveball | 30.4% | 50.9% | 0.232 | -- | -- |
| 4-Seam Fastball | 29.5% | 33.3% | 0.374 | 37.5% | 0.245 |
| Slider | 18.9% | 34.3% | 0.337 | -- | -- |
| Sinker | 15.7% | 47.4% | 0.361 | 42.9% | 0.307 |
| Changeup | 5.6% | 7.7% | 0.208 | -- | 0.320 |