Bailey Ober
Bryan HudsonModel pick
White Sox
Win probability
54.8%
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Team Stats
Twins
Record
68-74
Win%
.479
Games Back
6.0
Run Diff
-39
Last 10
4-6
Streak
W1
Defense Rank (Fielding %)
11th of 30
White Sox
Record
74-68
Win%
.521
Games Back
--
Run Diff
+40
Last 10
5-5
Streak
L1
Defense Rank (Fielding %)
15th of 30
Head-to-head · live from MLB Stats API
Team Stat Sheet
TwinsWhite Sox| Lineup Production | ||
| 4.7 | R/GRuns scored per game | 4.7 |
| 0.320 | OBPOn-base percentage | 0.318 |
| 0.728 | OPSOn-base + slugging | 0.723 |
| 0.246 | AVGBatting average | 0.236 |
| 167 | HRHome runs | 186 |
| 665 | RunsRuns scored | 670 |
| 1124 | KBatting strikeouts | 1291 |
| 459 | BBWalks drawn | 507 |
| Pitching Staff | ||
| 5.0 | RA/GRuns allowed per game | 4.4 |
| 4.62 | ERAEarned run average | 4.13 |
| 1.370 | WHIPWalks + hits per IP | 1.310 |
| 8.5 | K/9Strikeouts per 9 IP | 8.4 |
| 3.7 | BB/9Walks per 9 IP | 3.6 |
| 8.7 | H/9Hits per 9 IP | 8.1 |
2026 season-to-date team stats, live from MLB Stats API.
Analytics
Model Signals
TwinsWhite Sox| 45.2% | Win ProbabilityToss-up · Mixed signals | 54.8% |
Team strengthPythagorean win profile +0.059
| ||
Starting pitcherLast-five-start FIP -3.61
| ||
BullpenRolling 7-day WHIP -0.034
| ||
Hitting formAverage OPS edge · L3/L7/L15/season -0.061
| ||
1st-inning run prediction based on today's real lineups and starters
YRFI / NRFI
Model leans
NRFI 56.2%
43.8% YRFI · 56.2% NRFI
Why
Twins: NRFI in 4 of last 5
White Sox: NRFI in 4 of last 5
Bailey Ober: no 1st-inning run in 2 of last 2 starts
Bryan Hudson: hasn't allowed a 1st-inning run in 3 straight starts
A pick only becomes a play once the model is confident enough (65%+ for YRFI, 35%- for NRFI). No sportsbook line exists for this market yet, so this reflects the model's own confidence rather than an edge against posted odds.