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Brewers@Reds

Brewers

53.8%

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Team Stats

Brewers

88-55

.615

--

+172

6-4

L1

9th of 30

Reds

68-74

.479

19.5

-109

6-4

W1

23rd of 30

Team Stat Sheet

BrewersReds
Lineup Production
5.0R/GRuns scored per game4.2
0.339OBPOn-base percentage0.308
0.739OPSOn-base + slugging0.706
0.256AVGBatting average0.229
132HRHome runs191
718RunsRuns scored593
1201KBatting strikeouts1352
588BBWalks drawn505
Pitching Staff
3.8RA/GRuns allowed per game4.9
3.51ERAEarned run average4.66
1.180WHIPWalks + hits per IP1.430
9.7K/9Strikeouts per 9 IP8.2
3.2BB/9Walks per 9 IP4.1
7.4H/9Hits per 9 IP8.7

2026 season-to-date team stats, live from MLB Stats API.

Model Signals

BrewersReds
53.8%Win ProbabilityToss-up · Mixed signals46.2%
Team strengthPythagorean win profile
-0.217

Favors Brewers

Starting pitcherLast-five-start FIP
+1.61

Favors Reds

BullpenRolling 7-day WHIP
-0.039

Favors Brewers

Hitting formAverage OPS edge · L3/L7/L15/season
+0.059

Favors Reds

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YRFI / NRFI

NRFI 59.3%

40.7% YRFI · 59.3% NRFI

Brewers: NRFI in 3 of last 5

Reds: NRFI in 4 of last 5

Kyle Harrison: no 1st-inning run in 3 of last 5 starts

Brady Singer: hasn't allowed a 1st-inning run in 4 straight starts

No Play - inside the no-edge band

A pick only becomes a play once the model is confident enough (65%+ for YRFI, 35%- for NRFI). No sportsbook line exists for this market yet, so this reflects the model's own confidence rather than an edge against posted odds.

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