MLB pitcher strikeout
Chase Burns
Projection
7.6
Model strikeouts
Market line
6.5
FanDuel
Model edge
+1.1
Over 6.5
Recommendation
Over 6.5
FanDuel
Confidence
A
88/100
Pitcher K%
25.9%
Whiff%
27.1%
CSW%
28.1%
WHIP
1.03
Avg IP
5.5
Avg pitches
97.1
Last 5 avg Ks
6.0
Games logged
18
Matchup K%
N/A
Platoon K%
29.4%
Team chase
34.1%
Recent chase
36.9%
Recent contact
76.8%
Prop performance terminal
STRIKEOUT RESULTS
Historical strikeout performance against the selected market line.
Market line
6.5
FanDuel
Model projection
7.6
Expected strikeouts
Hit rate
80%
8 of 10 overs
Average Ks
7.0
Selected starts
Average margin
+0.5
Vs selected line
Current streak
2
UNDER
Interactive line simulator
Move the line to instantly recalculate every result.
Active line
6.5
Over
8
Under
2
Push
0
Jul 8
Philadelphia Phillies
Strikeouts
2
-4.5
Jul 2
Milwaukee Brewers
Strikeouts
4
-2.5
Jun 27
Pittsburgh Pirates
Strikeouts
10
+3.5
Jun 21
New York Yankees
Strikeouts
7
+0.5
Jun 15
New York Mets
Strikeouts
7
+0.5
Analytics
Sportsbook Lines
| Book | Line | Over odds | Under odds | Over edge | Under edge | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel | 6.5 | -156 | +122 | +1.1 | -1.1 | Best Over |
| ESPN BET | 6.5 | -175 | +125 | +1.1 | -1.1 | — |
| DraftKings | 7.5 | +126 | -- | +0.1 | -0.1 | — |
| BetMGM | 6.5 | -165 | +125 | +1.1 | -1.1 | — |
| Bovada | 6.5 | -160 | +120 | +1.1 | -1.1 | — |
| Caesars | 6.5 | -157 | -- | +1.1 | -1.1 | — |
Analytics
Batter vs. Pitcher History
No head-to-head history found for this lineup.
Analytics
Lineup Chase Rate
| Batter | Chase rate | Recent chase | Recent K% | Recent contact |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cole Young | 32% | 35.9% | 14.7% | 86.4% |
| Randy Arozarena | 31.2% | 28.4% | 17.9% | 71% |
| Dominic Canzone | 33.5% | 39.3% | 16.7% | 72.7% |
| Cal Raleigh | 38.4% | 42.2% | 31.6% | 77.8% |
| Josh Naylor | 36.8% | 32.3% | 8.1% | 81.6% |
| Luke Raley | 34.5% | 40% | 29.2% | 70.6% |
| Victor Robles | 37.3% | 35% | 18.2% | 88.4% |
| Colt Emerson | 37.5% | 42.3% | 29.6% | 74.1% |
| Weston Wilson | 25.5% | N/A | N/A | 68.8% |
Analytics
Projection History
| Date | Opponent | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-08 | Philadelphia Phillies | 8.8 | 2 |
| 2026-07-21 | Seattle Mariners | 7.6 | — |
Analytics
Why This Projection?
Analytics
Last 10 Starts
| Date | Opponent | H/A | IP | Ks | Pitches | WHIP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-08 | Philadelphia Phillies | Home | 5 | 2 | 106 | 1.11 |
| 2026-07-02 | Milwaukee Brewers | Away | 6 | 4 | 89 | 1.08 |
| 2026-06-27 | Pittsburgh Pirates | Away | 6 | 10 | 93 | 1.08 |
| 2026-06-21 | New York Yankees | Away | 5 | 7 | 96 | 1.05 |
| 2026-06-15 | New York Mets | Home | 5 | 7 | 100 | 1.02 |
| 2026-06-09 | San Diego Padres | Away | 5.1 | 7 | 105 | 0.99 |
| 2026-06-03 | Kansas City Royals | Home | 6 | 9 | 98 | 0.95 |
| 2026-05-26 | New York Mets | Away | 5.1 | 8 | 90 | 0.96 |
| 2026-05-19 | Philadelphia Phillies | Away | 6 | 9 | 86 | 0.95 |
| 2026-05-14 | Washington Nationals | Home | 6 | 7 | 95 | 1 |