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Jack Perkins

Jack Perkins

@ Arizona Diamondbacks2026-07-21DraftKings

4.7

Model strikeouts

4.5

DraftKings

--

No qualifying edge

No recommendation

B+

70/100

29%

23.7%

29.4%

1.35

4

74.5

5.8

24

N/A

28.3%

31.6%

32.4%

81.6%

STRIKEOUT RESULTS

Historical strikeout performance against the selected market line.

Situation:

4.5

DraftKings

4.7

Expected strikeouts

60%

6 of 10 overs

4.8

Selected starts

+0.3

Vs selected line

1

UNDER

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4.5

0.527

6

4

0

Detroit Tigers

UNDER

2

-2.5

Miami Marlins

OVER

8

+3.5

Los Angeles Angels

OVER

5

+0.5

Los Angeles Angels

OVER

8

+3.5

Pittsburgh Pirates

OVER

6

+1.5

Sportsbook Lines

BookLineOver oddsUnder oddsOver edgeUnder edgeSignal
DraftKings4.5-109-117+0.2-0.2
Caesars4.5-103--+0.2-0.2
BetMGM4.5-105-125+0.2-0.2
ESPN BET4.5-105-130+0.2-0.2
Bovada4.5-105-125+0.2-0.2
FanDuel4.5-102-125+0.2-0.2
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Batter vs. Pitcher History

BatterPAKK%
Geraldo Perdomo200%
Corbin Carroll2150%
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Lineup Chase Rate

BatterChase rateRecent chaseRecent K%Recent contact
Ketel Marte32.1%40%26.8%77.1%
Geraldo Perdomo22.4%13.6%5.7%87.3%
Corbin Carroll29%32.1%29.4%76.9%
Gabriel Moreno28.7%31.2%15.4%88.9%
Max Kepler44.8%46.6%23.1%79.3%
Nolan Arenado29.9%25.3%24.3%75%
Tim Tawa31%31.2%17.9%78.6%
Ildemaro Vargas38.4%38.9%17.4%83.7%
Jorge Barrosa27.8%N/AN/A87.5%
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Projection History

DateOpponentProjectedActual
2026-07-21Arizona Diamondbacks4.7
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Why This Projection?

Pitcher K% is 29%
!Whiff rate is 23.7%
!CSW rate is 29.4%
!Opponent K% is 17.2%
!Average pitch count is 74.5
!WHIP is 1.35

Last 10 Starts

DateOpponentH/AIPKsPitchesWHIP
2026-07-09Detroit TigersAway32671.44
2026-07-03Miami MarlinsHome3.28911.45
2026-06-27Los Angeles AngelsAway55811.33
2026-06-21Los Angeles AngelsHome58781.37
2026-06-16Pittsburgh PiratesHome56851.39
2026-06-10Milwaukee BrewersHome44891.36
2026-06-05Houston AstrosAway46751.28
2026-05-31New York YankeesHome2.10301.21
2026-05-30New York YankeesHome0.22241.32
2026-05-25Seattle MarinersHome4.27631.24
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