MLB pitcher strikeout
Framber Valdez
Projection
3.9
Model strikeouts
Market line
4.5
ESPN BET
Model edge
+0.6
Under 4.5
Recommendation
Under 4.5
ESPN BET
Confidence
B+
70/100
Pitcher K%
20.2%
Whiff%
21.8%
CSW%
25.8%
WHIP
1.34
Avg IP
5.8
Avg pitches
89.2
Last 5 avg Ks
5.2
Games logged
19
Matchup K%
N/A
Platoon K%
19.2%
Team chase
26.3%
Recent chase
26%
Recent contact
78.6%
Prop performance terminal
STRIKEOUT RESULTS
Historical strikeout performance against the selected market line.
Market line
4.5
ESPN BET
Model projection
3.9
Expected strikeouts
Hit rate
50%
5 of 10 overs
Average Ks
4.5
Selected starts
Average margin
+0.0
Vs selected line
Current streak
1
OVER
Interactive line simulator
Move the line to instantly recalculate every result.
Active line
4.5
Over
5
Under
5
Push
0
Jul 9
Athletics
Strikeouts
9
+4.5
Jul 2
Texas Rangers
Strikeouts
1
-3.5
Jun 27
Houston Astros
Strikeouts
2
-2.5
Jun 22
New York Yankees
Strikeouts
8
+3.5
Jun 16
Houston Astros
Strikeouts
6
+1.5
Analytics
Sportsbook Lines
| Book | Line | Over odds | Under odds | Over edge | Under edge | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ESPN BET | 4.5 | -125 | -110 | -0.6 | +0.6 | Best Under |
| DraftKings | 4.5 | -125 | +100 | -0.6 | +0.6 | — |
| BetMGM | 4.5 | -135 | +100 | -0.6 | +0.6 | — |
| Bovada | 4.5 | -135 | +105 | -0.6 | +0.6 | — |
| FanDuel | 4.5 | -128 | +100 | -0.6 | +0.6 | — |
| Caesars | 4.5 | -127 | -- | -0.6 | +0.6 | — |
Analytics
Batter vs. Pitcher History
| Batter | PA | K | K% |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ian Happ | 6 | 3 | 50% |
| Dansby Swanson | 6 | 1 | 16.7% |
| Seiya Suzuki | 5 | 2 | 40% |
| Carson Kelly | 5 | 3 | 60% |
| Pete Crow-Armstrong | 3 | 1 | 33.3% |
| Alex Bregman | 3 | 0 | 0% |
| Nico Hoerner | 3 | 0 | 0% |
Analytics
Lineup Chase Rate
| Batter | Chase rate | Recent chase | Recent K% | Recent contact |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pete Crow-Armstrong | 32.7% | 28.9% | 34.1% | 71.2% |
| Seiya Suzuki | 23.1% | 18.8% | 17.5% | 83.1% |
| Alex Bregman | 23.1% | 23.8% | 22% | 83.1% |
| Carson Kelly | 25.7% | 10.9% | 20.7% | 85.7% |
| Michael Busch | 23.3% | 29.3% | 25% | 78.2% |
| Nico Hoerner | 29.9% | 39.1% | 7.9% | 92.3% |
| Ian Happ | 23.3% | 17.6% | 23.7% | 72.6% |
| Dansby Swanson | 29.1% | 40% | 22.9% | 62.2% |
| Kevin Alcántara | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
Analytics
Projection History
| Date | Opponent | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-09 | Athletics | 4.4 | 9 |
| 2026-07-21 | Chicago Cubs | 3.9 | — |
Analytics
Why This Projection?
Analytics
Last 10 Starts
| Date | Opponent | H/A | IP | Ks | Pitches | WHIP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-09 | Athletics | Home | 7 | 9 | 87 | 1.32 |
| 2026-07-02 | Texas Rangers | Away | 5 | 1 | 87 | 1.38 |
| 2026-06-27 | Houston Astros | Home | 6 | 2 | 88 | 1.34 |
| 2026-06-22 | New York Yankees | Home | 6 | 8 | 94 | 1.33 |
| 2026-06-16 | Houston Astros | Away | 6 | 6 | 92 | 1.35 |
| 2026-06-10 | Minnesota Twins | Home | 5 | 2 | 75 | 1.34 |
| 2026-06-05 | Seattle Mariners | Home | 5 | 5 | 102 | 1.32 |
| 2026-05-30 | Chicago White Sox | Away | 6.2 | 4 | 89 | 1.32 |
| 2026-05-24 | Baltimore Orioles | Away | 6 | 5 | 92 | 1.33 |
| 2026-05-18 | Cleveland Guardians | Home | 5 | 3 | 89 | 1.4 |