MLB pitcher strikeout
David Peterson
Projection
0.7
Model strikeouts
Market line
4.5
Bovada
Model edge
+3.8
Under 4.5
Recommendation
Under 4.5
Bovada
Confidence
B+
70/100
Pitcher K%
13.5%
Whiff%
19.1%
CSW%
22.4%
WHIP
1.63
Avg IP
4.2
Avg pitches
71.8
Last 5 avg Ks
2.6
Games logged
19
Matchup K%
N/A
Platoon K%
15.5%
Team chase
26.6%
Recent chase
27.1%
Recent contact
77.7%
Prop performance terminal
STRIKEOUT RESULTS
Historical strikeout performance against the selected market line.
Market line
4.5
Bovada
Model projection
0.7
Expected strikeouts
Hit rate
20%
2 of 10 overs
Average Ks
3.2
Selected starts
Average margin
-1.3
Vs selected line
Current streak
3
UNDER
Interactive line simulator
Move the line to instantly recalculate every result.
Active line
4.5
Over
2
Under
8
Push
0
Jul 9
Baltimore Orioles
Strikeouts
2
-2.5
Jul 3
St. Louis Cardinals
Strikeouts
3
-1.5
Jun 27
Milwaukee Brewers
Strikeouts
2
-2.5
Jun 21
Philadelphia Phillies
Strikeouts
5
+0.5
Jun 15
Cincinnati Reds
Strikeouts
1
-3.5
Analytics
Sportsbook Lines
| Book | Line | Over odds | Under odds | Over edge | Under edge | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bovada | 4.5 | +105 | -135 | -3.8 | +3.8 | Best Under |
| FanDuel | 4.5 | +104 | -132 | -3.8 | +3.8 | — |
| Caesars | 4.5 | +112 | -- | -3.8 | +3.8 | — |
| DraftKings | 4.5 | +100 | -128 | -3.8 | +3.8 | — |
| ESPN BET | 4.5 | +105 | -150 | -3.8 | +3.8 | — |
| BetMGM | 4.5 | +120 | -160 | -3.8 | +3.8 | — |
Analytics
Batter vs. Pitcher History
| Batter | PA | K | K% |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gleyber Torres | 4 | 2 | 50% |
| Matt Vierling | 4 | 0 | 0% |
Analytics
Lineup Chase Rate
| Batter | Chase rate | Recent chase | Recent K% | Recent contact |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gleyber Torres | 17% | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Kevin McGonigle | 17.2% | 23.2% | 15% | 80.8% |
| Hao-Yu Lee | 34.4% | 37% | 15% | 91.2% |
| Dillon Dingler | 34% | 23.5% | 22.2% | 89.1% |
| Riley Greene | 24.5% | 23.3% | 29.7% | 64.8% |
| Spencer Torkelson | 24.9% | 34.2% | 33.3% | 67.1% |
| Matt Vierling | 32.4% | 27.7% | 24.1% | 78% |
| Ben Malgeri | 29% | N/A | N/A | 64.7% |
| Jake Rogers | 26% | 21.1% | N/A | 85.7% |
Analytics
Projection History
| Date | Opponent | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-09 | Baltimore Orioles | 0.7 | 2 |
| 2026-07-21 | Detroit Tigers | 0.7 | — |
Analytics
Why This Projection?
Analytics
Last 10 Starts
| Date | Opponent | H/A | IP | Ks | Pitches | WHIP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-09 | Baltimore Orioles | Away | 5 | 2 | 77 | 1.64 |
| 2026-07-03 | St. Louis Cardinals | Home | 3.2 | 3 | 91 | 1.67 |
| 2026-06-27 | Milwaukee Brewers | Away | 5.2 | 2 | 69 | 1.59 |
| 2026-06-21 | Philadelphia Phillies | Away | 4 | 5 | 79 | 1.65 |
| 2026-06-15 | Cincinnati Reds | Away | 3 | 1 | 54 | 1.63 |
| 2026-06-10 | St. Louis Cardinals | Home | 3.2 | 1 | 63 | 1.64 |
| 2026-05-31 | Miami Marlins | Home | 4 | 3 | 51 | 1.59 |
| 2026-05-26 | Cincinnati Reds | Home | 5 | 4 | 90 | 1.67 |
| 2026-05-21 | Washington Nationals | Away | 5 | 3 | 82 | 1.55 |
| 2026-05-16 | New York Yankees | Home | 4 | 8 | 82 | 1.57 |