MLB pitcher strikeout
Walker Buehler
Projection
4.4
Model strikeouts
Market line
3.5
ESPN BET
Model edge
+0.9
Over 3.5
Recommendation
Over 3.5
ESPN BET
Confidence
B+
75/100
Pitcher K%
22.8%
Whiff%
24.9%
CSW%
27.8%
WHIP
1.35
Avg IP
4.7
Avg pitches
82.8
Last 5 avg Ks
4.6
Games logged
19
Matchup K%
18%
Platoon K%
20.3%
Team chase
34.1%
Recent chase
31.2%
Recent contact
80.7%
Prop performance terminal
STRIKEOUT RESULTS
Historical strikeout performance against the selected market line.
Market line
3.5
ESPN BET
Model projection
4.4
Expected strikeouts
Hit rate
80%
8 of 10 overs
Average Ks
4.4
Selected starts
Average margin
+0.9
Vs selected line
Current streak
1
UNDER
Interactive line simulator
Move the line to instantly recalculate every result.
Active line
3.5
Over
8
Under
2
Push
0
Jul 11
Toronto Blue Jays
Strikeouts
1
-2.5
Jul 6
Arizona Diamondbacks
Strikeouts
4
+0.5
Jul 1
Chicago Cubs
Strikeouts
6
+2.5
Jun 26
Los Angeles Dodgers
Strikeouts
5
+1.5
Jun 20
Texas Rangers
Strikeouts
7
+3.5
Analytics
Sportsbook Lines
| Book | Line | Over odds | Under odds | Over edge | Under edge | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ESPN BET | 3.5 | -150 | +105 | +0.9 | -0.9 | Best Over |
| FanDuel | 3.5 | -146 | +114 | +0.9 | -0.9 | — |
| BetMGM | 3.5 | -140 | +105 | +0.9 | -0.9 | — |
| Caesars | 3.5 | -150 | -- | +0.9 | -0.9 | — |
| DraftKings | 3.5 | -167 | +130 | +0.9 | -0.9 | — |
| Bovada | 3.5 | -150 | +115 | +0.9 | -0.9 | — |
Analytics
Batter vs. Pitcher History
| Batter | PA | K | K% |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mike Yastrzemski | 28 | 5 | 17.9% |
| Ozzie Albies | 13 | 2 | 15.4% |
| Matt Olson | 11 | 2 | 18.2% |
| Austin Riley | 9 | 2 | 22.2% |
| Michael Harris II | 6 | 0 | 0% |
| Mauricio Dubón | 5 | 2 | 40% |
| Drake Baldwin | 3 | 0 | 0% |
Analytics
Lineup Chase Rate
| Batter | Chase rate | Recent chase | Recent K% | Recent contact |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drake Baldwin | 32.4% | 25% | 12.2% | 85.2% |
| Ozzie Albies | 38.1% | 42.1% | 24.4% | 79.8% |
| Matt Olson | 27.6% | 29.3% | 35% | 71.4% |
| Austin Riley | 33.2% | 26.9% | 25% | 75.4% |
| Michael Harris II | 46.2% | 40% | 16.7% | 84.5% |
| Mauricio Dubón | 39.1% | 47.3% | 20.5% | 83.9% |
| Mike Yastrzemski | 25% | 20.7% | N/A | 84.2% |
| Brewer Hicklen | N/A | 24% | N/A | 73.9% |
| Jim Jarvis | 31% | 25.4% | 17.9% | 88% |
Analytics
Projection History
| Date | Opponent | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-11 | Toronto Blue Jays | 4.1 | 1 |
| 2026-07-21 | Atlanta Braves | 4.4 | — |
Analytics
Why This Projection?
Analytics
Last 10 Starts
| Date | Opponent | H/A | IP | Ks | Pitches | WHIP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-11 | Toronto Blue Jays | Home | 2 | 1 | 65 | 1.44 |
| 2026-07-06 | Arizona Diamondbacks | Home | 5 | 4 | 93 | 1.39 |
| 2026-07-01 | Chicago Cubs | Away | 4 | 6 | 85 | 1.38 |
| 2026-06-26 | Los Angeles Dodgers | Home | 5.1 | 5 | 74 | 1.31 |
| 2026-06-20 | Texas Rangers | Away | 5.1 | 7 | 87 | 1.32 |
| 2026-06-14 | Baltimore Orioles | Away | 5 | 5 | 86 | 1.34 |
| 2026-06-08 | Cincinnati Reds | Home | 4.2 | 4 | 86 | 1.35 |
| 2026-06-03 | Philadelphia Phillies | Away | 6 | 6 | 86 | 1.28 |
| 2026-05-27 | Philadelphia Phillies | Home | 5.1 | 2 | 58 | 1.32 |
| 2026-05-22 | Athletics | Home | 5 | 4 | 85 | 1.4 |