MLB pitcher strikeout
Zack Wheeler
Projection
11
Model strikeouts
Market line
6.5
Caesars
Model edge
+4.5
Over 6.5
Recommendation
Over 6.5
Caesars
Confidence
A+
100/100
Pitcher K%
38.7%
Whiff%
36.4%
CSW%
30.6%
WHIP
0.88
Avg IP
6.2
Avg pitches
100.4
Last 5 avg Ks
9.2
Games logged
15
Matchup K%
23.1%
Platoon K%
30.2%
Team chase
26.4%
Recent chase
30.4%
Recent contact
80.5%
Prop performance terminal
STRIKEOUT RESULTS
Historical strikeout performance against the selected market line.
Market line
6.5
Caesars
Model projection
11
Expected strikeouts
Hit rate
60%
6 of 10 overs
Average Ks
7.8
Selected starts
Average margin
+1.3
Vs selected line
Current streak
3
OVER
Interactive line simulator
Move the line to instantly recalculate every result.
Active line
6.5
Over
6
Under
4
Push
0
Jul 12
Detroit Tigers
Strikeouts
10
+3.5
Jul 7
Cincinnati Reds
Strikeouts
14
+7.5
Jul 1
Pittsburgh Pirates
Strikeouts
10
+3.5
Jun 26
New York Mets
Strikeouts
5
-1.5
Jun 21
New York Mets
Strikeouts
7
+0.5
Analytics
Sportsbook Lines
| Book | Line | Over odds | Under odds | Over edge | Under edge | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caesars | 6.5 | -129 | -- | +4.5 | -4.5 | Best Over |
| Bovada | 6.5 | -125 | -105 | +4.5 | -4.5 | — |
| FanDuel | 6.5 | -128 | +100 | +4.5 | -4.5 | — |
| BetMGM | 6.5 | -130 | -105 | +4.5 | -4.5 | — |
| ESPN BET | 6.5 | -130 | -105 | +4.5 | -4.5 | — |
| DraftKings | 6.5 | -126 | -102 | +4.5 | -4.5 | — |
Analytics
Batter vs. Pitcher History
| Batter | PA | K | K% |
|---|---|---|---|
| Freddie Freeman | 73 | 12 | 16.4% |
| Max Muncy | 14 | 4 | 28.6% |
| Tommy Edman | 12 | 5 | 41.7% |
| Shohei Ohtani | 9 | 2 | 22.2% |
| Mookie Betts | 9 | 2 | 22.2% |
| Kyle Tucker | 9 | 3 | 33.3% |
| Alex Call | 8 | 3 | 37.5% |
| Andy Pages | 3 | 0 | 0% |
Analytics
Lineup Chase Rate
| Batter | Chase rate | Recent chase | Recent K% | Recent contact |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shohei Ohtani | 28.4% | 40.4% | 26.5% | 63.3% |
| Andy Pages | 32.9% | 37.2% | 30% | 77.9% |
| Freddie Freeman | 27.3% | 34.3% | 29% | 74.6% |
| Max Muncy | 24% | 20% | 20% | 81% |
| Mookie Betts | 18.8% | 19% | 12.5% | 89.6% |
| Kyle Tucker | 25% | 27.9% | 14.8% | 80.8% |
| Tommy Edman | 31.4% | 33.3% | 20% | 81.1% |
| Alex Call | 23.4% | 30.8% | N/A | 90% |
| Eliezer Alfonzo | N/A | N/A | N/A | 86.4% |
Analytics
Projection History
| Date | Opponent | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-07 | Cincinnati Reds | 9.8 | 14 |
| 2026-07-12 | Detroit Tigers | 11 | 10 |
| 2026-07-21 | Los Angeles Dodgers | 11 | — |
Analytics
Why This Projection?
Analytics
Last 10 Starts
| Date | Opponent | H/A | IP | Ks | Pitches | WHIP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-12 | Detroit Tigers | Away | 6 | 10 | 96 | 0.89 |
| 2026-07-07 | Cincinnati Reds | Away | 7 | 14 | 104 | 0.91 |
| 2026-07-01 | Pittsburgh Pirates | Home | 4.2 | 10 | 104 | 0.94 |
| 2026-06-26 | New York Mets | Away | 7 | 5 | 98 | 0.86 |
| 2026-06-21 | New York Mets | Home | 5.2 | 7 | 104 | 0.88 |
| 2026-06-15 | Miami Marlins | Home | 6 | 9 | 97 | 0.85 |
| 2026-06-09 | Toronto Blue Jays | Away | 6 | 5 | 96 | 0.85 |
| 2026-06-04 | San Diego Padres | Home | 7 | 8 | 104 | 0.83 |
| 2026-05-29 | Los Angeles Dodgers | Away | 6 | 4 | 90 | 0.85 |
| 2026-05-23 | Cleveland Guardians | Home | 6 | 6 | 99 | 0.82 |